Thursday, October 07, 2021
  Mutually Assured Destruction: fear vs reality

From ACM March 1958. An article by WH Pickering, head of JPL, gives an explanation not usually heard.
The ICBM with a hydrogen warhead takes less than half an hour to reach its target. This means, that within a few years every city on the globe will be living with a threat of sudden death - its life dependent on one man's action. And that man is not the ruler of an enemy country, but the soldier on guard in an isolated ICBM launching site.

The least we can hope is that he is not one of those young hotheads who frequently exchange rifle shots across a frontier. But no matter who he is, his decision is the death sentence of the target city.

With this situation rapidly becoming an accepted fact, military strategists have concluded that the only answer is the threat of immediate and total retaliation. Conceptually, the enemy's missiles are detected on route and the retaliatory missiles are launched even before the enemy missiles have reached their targets.

Thus, even if the launching sites do not survive the targets, destruction of the enemy is achieved. Even after the anti-missile-missile has been perfected, this basic strategy would be maintained.
In other words, MAD was meant to guard against Deplorables in the military. Computers and MAD were meant to protect the elite world from Deplorables.

What really happened is the EXACT FUCKING OPPOSITE.

The computers were the hotheads, and a Russian Deplorable saved the world by making a HUMAN decision.

= = = = = START 2015 REPRINT:

The newly publicized story of Stanislav Petrov slaps us with a couple of big lessons.

Petrov is the sanest man in the world, and thus the grumpiest man in the world.

Petrov saved the world from nuclear destruction in 1983.

He was manning the controls for part of Russia's nuclear arsenal, watching his radar and computer screens. Suddenly a blip appeared to be coming across the Arctic from North America. Then it was joined by four more blips in the same direction, but no more. Just five blips.

He had to think fast. There were four possibilities, formed into a truth table.

False indication, don't respond: End of his career. No other harm.

False indication, respond: Instant end of America, eventual end of humanity.

True indication, don't respond: Instant end of Russia, eventual end of humanity.

True indication, respond: Instant end of humanity.


His decision was based on a knowledge of all these possibilities, plus an understanding of his instruments and the meaning of their readings. He decided that five blips could not be a real USA STRONG attack, because USA STRONG understood the End Of Humanity logic as well as he did. If USA STRONG was going to attack, it would be sending hundreds of missiles all at once because there wouldn't be a chance to send the rest after Russia's response.

He chose not to push the button, and we're all alive because he did.

Thanks, Petrov!

It didn't exactly end his career, but he didn't get any rewards either. Now he's barely surviving on a pension, but he's fiercely loyal to Russia.

Lesson #1: Trust technicians. Trust metrology. A technician who understands his instruments will make the right decision far more often than a Professional who understands theories. The Professional will ignore obvious indications of bad readings, and will often intentionally falsify the readings, to keep his theory and his grants running.

Lesson #2: Especially for the beyond-evil hypermonsters who have been misruling USA STRONG since 1989. Don't underestimate Russians. Don't assume that they will surrender because you impose some economic hardships. They are accustomed to self-sufficiency and they are good at improvising. Above all, Russians are unconditionally Russian.

= = = = = END 2015 REPRINT.

THEORIES KILL. EXPERIENCE SURVIVES.

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Monday, August 03, 2020
  Not so silly after all

A new measurement of the cerebellum is SHOCKING as usual.
It’s essentially a flat sheet with the thickness of a crepe, crinkled into hundreds of folds to make it fit into a compact volume about one-eighth the volume of the cerebral cortex. For this reason, the surface area of the cerebellum was thought to be considerably smaller than that of the cerebral cortex.

By using an ultra-high-field MRI machine to scan the brain and custom software to process the resulting images, an SDSU neuroimaging expert discovered the tightly packed folds actually contain a surface area equal to 80% of the cerebral cortex’s surface area. In comparison, the macaque’s cerebellum is about 30% the size of its cortex.
The neurons of the cerebellum are 80% of the neurons in the brain, so it shouldn't be a surprise that its surface area is large.

Also unsurprising: Science is snobbery. Scientists function by theory and tyranny. (Redundant and synonymous.) They have a POWERFUL disdain for people and animals who function by skills and culture and reality.

The cerebellum is the site for SKILLS and REALITY. The cortex is the site for theories and tyranny. Thus everyone knows that the cortex must be INFINITELY larger than the cerebellum, just as everyone knows the scientist is INFINITELY smarter than the plumber or waitress.

I made a rather silly analogy on this point two years ago:

= = = = = START REPRINT:

Reading some of the older pieces at the Abbeville website, and simultaneously working on courseware about the cerebellum....



Dixie is America's cerebellum. Especially true before Madman Lincoln burned it down and killed 1/6 of the country to "prove" a totally delusional "point" and raise Wall Street share values.

Dixieland is the source of African influence, bringing Natural Law and morality and rhythm and resonance and muscle memory.

Yankeeland is the source of Euro influence (esp Kraut and Frog), bringing verbal "learning" and insane nonsensical theories and genocidal delusions and numerical abstraction. The Yankee cortex believes it can get along without the senses and muscles, so it constantly tries to exterminate the senses and muscles.

Of course the entire body can't get along without movement. Dancing and walking and making and cleaning keep the organism functioning. When you hold still for long periods the cerebellum loses sync, and the cortex stops sorting and pruning its memories and ideas. Delusions such as "rights" and "democracy" and LBOs and QE and Bitcoin run wild, destroying the organism along with everything around it.

= = = = = END REPRINT.

Maybe it's not so silly. Where is the tyranny now, and where are the sane and courageous non-tyrant governors? Most of the courageous non-tyrants are in the cerebellum, where people and skills matter. Florida, SC, Georgia, Tennessee. The worst holocausters are on the west coast, in the frontal lobe of the cortex.

Aside from all that, let's go back to the point of the referenced article. Neurologists are just now realizing that their measurement of the SURFACE AREA of a brain part that has been identified and mapped and measured for hundreds of years was WILDLY WRONG.

If they can't even measure a macroscopic SURFACE AREA after several hundred years of working with it, why in the fuck should we trust them to measure ANYTHING AT ALL?

Hint: CASES and DEATHS.

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Friday, March 13, 2020
  Marcus sees reality in NYC

Interesting observation from Marcus at TheIsraelist, who is pure NYC. Within NYC, the upper-class stores are getting mobbed and shortaged, while ordinary stores are running pretty much normally.

Even in Panic Central, the panic is largely among idiots.

I've been noticing the same thing here from the start.

I'm pretty sure this wasn't the PURPOSE of the panic designers. They wanted the Deplorables to riot so the Tribe could get out the SWAT teams.

The upper-class idiots have been most strongly infected by ALL the panics, starting with "global warming". Normal people may use the jargon because it's the only available language, but normal people understand that weather is created by Nature, not by Exxon.

"Scientists" have been bemoaning the low spread of panic infection among the Denialists and Deplorables for a long time, and "scientists" have been proposing better ways to communicate the DIRE NECESSITY OF COMMITTING SUICIDE TO SOLVE THE [fill in blank] EMERGENCY. Fortunately they never hit on the real secret of communicating.

Conform to reality. Tell the truth. Tell ALL of the truth.

The media and Experts have been telling us total lies about everything since 1946, and normal people have figured it out. Some of the warnings may accidentally be true, but the constant departure from observable reality and the constant Room 101 switchbacks have removed all chance of trust and credibility.

We can't even describe the loss of trust as "crying wolf", because the Experts are no longer warning us about wolves, whether falsely or truly. In earlier times civilization tried to keep wolves out of farms and cities. Now the Experts are literally sending wolves and grizzlies into farms and villages, and jailing us if we try to stop the wolves. Their sole purpose is to kill us.

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  Just checking a prediction....

On January 25 I wrote:

= = = = =

Apparently the "impeachment" stageplay is in its 4th act, ready for the curtain.

More interesting question: What's next on the playbill?

First we had RUSSIAN_MEDDLING, then we had UKRAINIAN_MEDDLING. Both have kept Hillary's puppet Trump firmly in power with a solid media onslaught against Trump's followers. Hillary is able to achieve all of her genocidal goals through the Pied Piper, while escaping all the blame for her mass murder. All the blame goes to "alt-right neonazi white nationalists".

What's next? KAZAKHSTAN_MEDDLING? BELARUS_MEDDLING? TUVAN_AUTONOMOUS_OBLAST_MEDDLING?


= = = = =

ALSO on January 25 I took notice of the Branded Swine Flu for the first time.

At that point I didn't think of the two events as connected. The seamless transition by Deepstate is wondrous to behold. Ramp down Panic 1, ramp up Panic 2. Never leave any dead air, only dead Deplorables. A well-oiled genocide machine humming along and obliterating everything except Israel.



What comes next? Epidemics always use up the available victims and fade out. This one is already past its peak in China and Korea, the first locations, and will pass its peak elsewhere in a few weeks. I'm sure Deepstate has Panic 3 in the pipeline ready to pop.

= = = = =

Graphic serendipity footnote: Uncle Skeleton appears to be wearing latex gloves. Not intentional. When I made the figure, I gave it an animated constantly changing rainbow color scheme for obvious reasons. In this quickie cartoon I didn't bother to animate the colors, and the hands ended up yellowish-greenish.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2020
  Healthy immune response

The guy who runs the Spokane News FB page normally avoids going along with the media crowd. Occasionally he yields to the temptation and gets INSTRUCTED by his readers. It happened again with the Branded Swine Flu. He published the latest panic-generator and immediately got swarmed by a healthy immune response from Deplorable Mediaphage cells.

The media demons are trying to overwhelm our literal actual immunity with a BOMB BLAST of panic viruses coming from every direction. It's easy to avoid most bloodthirsty media, but we need to have a few places where we can pick up a little bit of real news about what's really happening here without being BLASTED with murderous panic and chaos.

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Friday, February 28, 2020
  Blurting out the straight facts

From the old Radio Moscow in 1947:

.... some of Truman's supporters who sometimes accidentally blurt out the straight facts.

Still true today.

Mulvaney, who is some kind of Deepstate official, says:

"Are you going to see some schools shut down? Probably. Maybe see impacts on public transportation? Sure, but we do this. We know how to handle this,"

Blurting out the straight facts. The PURPOSE of the panic is to slaughter Deplorables. When you shut down schools you starve many kids. When you shut down public transit you KILL THOUSANDS OF POOR PEOPLE. These are not 2% risks, these are IRON-CLAD GUARANTEES.

Mulvaney's "conservative" listeners ejaculated inside their $100000 suits at the thought of BUS RIDERS DYING EN MASSE. Best news they've heard in years.

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Monday, February 24, 2020
  Time for a cheer

The Demonic Dow is showing encouraging motion in the correct direction. Time for Cheerleader Polistra to do her prayerful routine!


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Sunday, February 16, 2020
  Multifocal fuckhead

Article by Godwin, the writer of Godwin's Law.

He's been around the net since the BBS/USENET days, and he's been a lawyer dealing with net cases most of that time.

He says he used to be pure libertarian, but now he's starting to believe that more controls are needed because the WRONG SORT OF PEOPLE are using freedom. RUSSIAN_MEDDLING can't be allowed to MALIGN_BEHAVIOR the web, and of course non-Sorosians need to be EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE. Individual Liberty requires it. Individual Liberty means Soros owns everything.

Here's one focus of idiocy:
Another thing we clearly got wrong is how large platforms would rise to dominate their markets—even though they never received the kind of bespoke regulated-monopoly partnership with governments that, generations before, the telephone companies had received. In most of today’s democracies, Google dominates search and Facebook dominates social media. In less-democratic nations, counterpart platforms—like Baidu and Weibo in China or VK in Russia—dominate their respective markets, but their relationships with the relevant governments are cozier, so their market-dominant status isn’t surprising.
Nonsense. Google was a government contractor from the start. Long before the web, big tech companies were primarily government contractors. It started in 1946 and it was already obvious in 1960 when Ike talked about it.

Second focus of idiocy:
Alternatively, as in this 2019 piece by Matt Schruers, the newly appointed president of the Computer & Communications Industry Association, it’s sometimes called “the moderator’s dilemma,” where opposing incentives lead either to the suppression of viewpoint diversity or to websites “plagued with off-topic content, trolling, and abuse.”

One reason we need to keep Section 230 safe—a reason I didn’t have the foresight to champion back in the 1990s—is that it’s crucial to fighting disinformation: It allows internet platforms to curate their content without necessarily increasing liability.
Platforms have always curated content. It's called publishing. Publishers have always worked within the constraints of liability for real harm. Publishers didn't need Section 230. Moderating specialized forums has always been a hard job. Do you kick out the asshole who really knows his stuff but can't stop lording it over others? Or do you stay loose and keep the asshole's valuable knowledge while losing some newbies? Alphia Hart discussed it often in his 1950's anti-Hubbard magazine Aberree. Editors of radio hobbyist newsletters discussed it in the '30s. It's just part of the job. No easy solution.

Third focus of idiocy:
I remain skeptical as to whether tactics like microtargeting and demographic profiling, whether used by political campaigns or foreign governments, are as effective at manipulating people as some critics fear, but I see nothing wrong with using legal and policy tools to stop malicious actors from trying to use these tools.
Nothing new about profiling. It's called knowing your customers. Scammers have always done the best job of knowing their customers. The post office and Ma Bell always made efforts to stop scammers, though it was easier with mail. Also, in previous decades media tried to educate people about the techniques of scammers. Now that our entire "economy" is mobs and rackets, nobody wants to train the suckers.

But Godwin isn't talking about scammers when he says MALICIOUS ACTORS. The keyword means only one thing. Surprise surprise surprise.
I still believe that, but here in 2020 I’m also haunted by the challenges we face everywhere in the world in this century, ranging from climate change to income inequality to the (not-unrelated) resurgence of populist xenophobia and even genocidal movements.
Freedom is fine as long as the free people are 100% SorosThought. Any entity that is not 100% SorosThought is MALICIOUS_ACTOR MALIGN_BEHAVIOR and must be EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE.



The only genocidal movements are on your side, fuckhead. Greta is explicitly and joyfully genocidal.

Is Godwin just an idiot, or is he an AP? I'm inclined toward idiot. The centralizing nature of the web was perfectly clear in the '80s. NSA was the central node, and NSA developed the web for its own ends, not for "liberty". The other problems have been around long before the web, and didn't inspire "libertarians" to favor total censorship.

Meta-Godwins-Law left as exercise for reader.

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Friday, January 31, 2020
  By George, they've got it!

After the first few months it was clear that Brexit would never happen.

I stopped tracking the meaningless ins and outs, since it was permanently out.

I was wrong.

I underrated Boris, underrated Farage, and ABOVE ALL underrated the patient long-suffering British PEOPLE.



They were terminally tired of Kraut occupation. They had sacrificed everything in 1940 to avoid Kraut occupation, and then their evil government had invited the Krauts in.

They voted against Kraut occupation three times, and finally Boris got the message and GOT SHIT DONE.

If the government had RESPONDED TO NEGATIVE FEEDBACK in June 2016, the exit itself would have taken about one week, and the treaties with various countries would have been settled and done by 2017.

This is a victory for Farage, a victory for the British PEOPLE, and more broadly a victory for NEGATIVE FEEDBACK, which is another word for LIFE.

= = = = =

And while I'm at it, let's move England and Wales and Berwick-upon-Tweed out of Soros territory on the Sorosia map! (I'm anticipating that Scotland will find a way to move back into EU by hook or crook.)


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Thursday, January 30, 2020
  Enforcing leadership by service

Populism: The government of THIS nation must serve the PEOPLE of THIS nation.

Putin leads by serving the people of Russia, and expects all his subordinates to do the same. Today he fired a provincial governor who had consistently showed disrespect for the people of his province.

Apparently the governor of the Chuvash region had laid down a record of mocking his local Deplorables. The last straw was a public ceremony where he handed the keys of new equipment to the head of the local firefighting agency. Instead of just handing over the keys, he held them high and made the fireman jump to retrieve them.

Jump, boy! When I say jump you jump, boy!

Mocking the Deplorables is REQUIRED behavior in USA. It's PROHIBITED in Russia.

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Tuesday, December 24, 2019
  Let's compare.

Let's compare a typical US infrastructure project with Russia's Crimea bridges.

During WW2 the Kaiser aluminum plant north of Spokane grew massive for war production, and remained massive afterward. Traffic heading north on Division and Market was constantly snarled. A superhighway was proposed and planned.

In the '80s, EPA and offshoring killed the aluminum plant. It's still nominally there, but not much bigger than a machine shop. Dozens of employees, not thousands. No reason for a superhighway.

In 2000 the superhighway finally started. Whole neighborhoods were bought out and torn down to make room for the project. Every section required environmental impact statements and archeological digs to check for ancient relics. Nobody worried about the modern Deplorables who were kicked out, because Deplorables are EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE EXTERMINATE.

The project has been on hold for a year because the next scheduled section formerly included a railroad yard that might have allowed a few drops of oil to penetrate the ground. Gaia won't allow us to TOUCH deconsecrated ground, so the section needs to be re-engineered as a skyway.

Now the whole project has been halted indefinitely because of Tim Eyman's latest idiot ZERO TAX referendum. The halt leaves several major intersections CLOSED indefinitely, "preparing" for construction that won't happen. So the project ends up massively INCREASING congestion and accidents, after wasting two billion dollars on NOTHING.

So we have a highway that goes nowhere and COULDN'T SERVE A PURPOSE EVEN IF COMPLETED, and we have thousands of displaced Deplorables, and the "legal" appeals and counterappeals and countercounterappeals and countercountercounterappeals continue to make lawyers rich.

If Eyman's ZERO TAX permanently halts EVERYTHING, including the bureaucrats and lawyers, maybe it will serve a good purpose after all. But we know that won't happen. Bureaucrats never stop. The legal process will continue forever with no purpose, just as the construction continued forever with no purpose. PARKINSON.

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Saturday, November 30, 2019
  Is this a change? Maybe.

Deutsche Welle, normally solid Soros, seems to be wavering just a bit, and one Kraut judge is also wavering just a bit.

DW has an article, categorized as News not Opinion, which acknowledges a big part of the problem:
Thousands of migrants in Germany have applied for asylum multiple times and return to the country after having been deported, according to a report by German newspaper Die Welt am Sonntag published on Sunday.

There are nearly 5,000 asylum-seekers who have reapplied for asylum after being deported from Germany since 2012, according to the report, which cites official government figures. Some of the asylum-seekers willingly left Germany, knowing deportation was imminent. The then returned to German to make another application for asylum, according to the report.

Asylum seekers who have been deported and have entry bans are jailed for a few months for re-entering the country, according to the report. Arrests and longer sentences are rare.
Catch and release is a HUGE problem in USA STRONG as well, and not just in immigration. It's an even bigger problem with ordinary criminals. The police are trying to do their job, but the "courts" are smashing civilization and overburdening the cops with 5000-time PROFESSIONAL CRIMINALS who commit the same crime several times a day, except for occasional hour-long coffee breaks behind bars.

Normal people, not just ULTRA ULTRA ULTRA ULTRA FAR FAR FAR FAR RIGHT KKKTRUMPHITLERHITLER EXTREMISTHITLER WHITEHITLER NATIONALISTHITLER TERRORISTHITLERS, see this in their daily lives and know it's a problem, but the media and dysgovernment NEVER EVEN ACKNOWLEDGE the problem. Anyone who ACCURATELY OBSERVES the problem is jailed solidly and permanently, not for an hour.

Now the premier Soros Satan of EU media has said the same thing that the ULTRA TERRORISTHITLERS have been saying for years.

= = = = =

A Kraut judge has also acknowledged the truth of reality, though in a peculiar and abstract way.
A German judge ruled that an election campaign poster reading "Migration kills!" was a partly accurate description of reality and does not incite racial hatred. The campaign poster was used ahead of the European parliamentary elections earlier in 2019. In full, it reads: "Stop the invasion: Migration kills!"

Judge Andreas Hofer, who made the decision, cited "historical movements of people" from 5,000 years ago to the present day that directly led to "death and ruin," including the expulsion of the Israelites from Egypt and the colonization of the Americas. On that basis, he said that the poster "at least partly reflected reality."
Huh? He's missing the point entirely. It's true that every movement of people involves trouble and conflict and deaths, but each migration has a different PURPOSE. The current migration in Europe is neither ordinary colonialism nor an expulsion. It's an intentional invasion of migrants sponsored and inspired by Soros. The migrants themselves are not the problem. Soros is the problem, and the EU/US/UK dysgovernments who work in tandem with Soros to SLAUGHTER their own Deplorables.

Are we seeing a minor signal of shifting elite opinion? Hard to tell.

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Saturday, November 16, 2019
  The only way

Here's a HARDASS REALIST article at Strategic-Culture.
Poor, naive Evo Morales. Instead of seeking secure refuge in a sovereign friendly country, he must be languishing now in the catacombs of Mexico City, where his tormentors are making sure that he will remain isolated and is never allowed to attempt a comeback. They are a wicked lot, but also undeniably sharp learners. They will use every tool at their disposal to make sure Morales does not spring on them a nasty surprise, as Lula just did.
Hardass to be sure, and realist to be sure.

The article details several groups that have been working openly for USA and Soros. Morales failed to arrest and execute their leaders, so they were free to take him down when they chose to.

Plain fact: A leader who wants to serve the people needs to ELIMINATE the enemies of the people. Erdogan, for all his failings in other areas, did exactly the right thing when Soros ran a coup against him. Erdogan arrested everyone who was involved at all levels, and sorted them out after arresting them.

Other leaders have done the same thing, sometimes with less force but always with enough force for the situation. Hungary kicked out the Sorosians BEFORE the coup, thus obviating the need for force.

CIVILIZATION can survive in a few places by RUTHLESSLY ERADICATING the opponents of civilization.

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Tuesday, November 05, 2019
  Always nice

Always nice to get immediate verification. We know that the purpose of the Carbon Cult is to slaughter Deplorables. This was implicit in the original 1975 CIA manifesto, but not often emphasized.

A new document states the goal explicitly. Via ZH, 11000 "scientists" have signed an open petition calling for slaughter of all Deplorables.

They don't say Deplorables verbally, but the logic of their proposal forces it.

Who is reproducing? Deplorable countries, and Deplorable areas and neighborhoods in Sorosian countries. Specifically, real Muslims and real Christians are reproducing. Everyone else is declining.

So a population control project necessarily focuses its attention on Christians and Muslims. Secular Western groups and the Oriental area are declining on their own and don't need an extra 'boost'.

This religion-based genocide must be highly satisfying to those 11000 "scientists". They found a way to kill believers without saying it openly.

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Friday, October 25, 2019
  Hey fuckhead!

Another fashionable fuckhead seeks grants and status instead of knowledge:
The associate professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering is studying the toll climate change may take on aging U.S. infrastructure, which includes over 600,000 bridges.
Hey fuckhead. I've got a better idea. Why don't you study ways of getting governments to MAINTAIN the bridges?

The genocidal "climate change" fraud is designed to blame oil companies for failures in every other kind of business and government. When governments know they can blame Evil KKKarbon for busted pipes and bad roads and deadly bridges, they are free to stop maintaining the structures.

PGE is a beautiful example. With collusion by the hyperdemonic incalculably wicked California and federal dys"governments", it avoided all maintenance for many decades, assuming it could blame KKKarbon and Exxon when its busted old powerlines dropped into trees it had failed to cut. Now, instead of doing what it should have done for the last 40 years, it is simply shutting down and reverting to Zimbabwe-style power.

I love to watch the Tesloids suffering the consequences of their own holocaustal monster religion, but unfortunately some humans are also suffering. PGE has carefully trimmed the outages so they mainly affect the Deplorables who pay for electricity, leaving the COOOOOOOOOOL shareholder and solar subsidy demographic fully powered.

Classic share-value operating mode. Slaughter actual customers who actually pay. Slaughter actual employees who actually work. Lavish infinite gifts on NYC, which never pays, never gives, never works, never thanks.

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Monday, October 21, 2019
  Didn't need to ask

Now that Morales has won re-election, I wondered whether Bolivia is the next regime-change target.

Before Evo, Bolivia was a CIA cocaine colony, devoted solely to supplying the genocidal "needs" of our internal chaos-generating gangs like DEA. Morales got rid of Graybill, nationalized the mining industry, and created a modern self-sufficient country from scratch.

INTOLERABLE UNACCEPTABLE ALL OPTIONS ON THE TABLE.

Needless to say, the OPTIONS are already being activated, even before the election is verified.

BBC declares the election invalid because the counting was slow, and begins the Guaido process of defining the opposition as the real government. Now we must invade and bomb Bolivia down to bedrock to exterminate the "illegitimate" Morales.

Update next day: Now Rubio has joined the regime-change chorus. Fuck you, Rubio. Fuck you up the ass for the rest of eternity. You and Hillary and Trump and all the other regime-changers. Fuck you.


There's an important difference between Bolivia and Venezuela. Evo, like AMLO and FDR, is highly competent and is GETTING SHIT DONE. He's easy to defend. Maduro apparently wants to work for his people, but he's so utterly incompetent (or subverted?) that it's hard to defend him. At every step he fails to make the correct move.

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Saturday, September 28, 2019
  Always the same

I bumped into this while looking for info on an old gadget called the Hipp Chronoscope. It seemed like an interesting 'model' for my latest set of Lost Gadgets, and I was trying to find good diagrams and pics. After bumping into this, I decided to skip the Chronoscope. Every tool can be used for good or evil, but this one seems to have been primarily evil.

This 1922 experiment shows several things.

(1) "Social" "science" has always been about cold mechanical torture and evil. The CIA torture chambers, planned and staffed by academic "social" "scientists", are nothing new. The Milgram experiment, which was recently "ameliorated", was nothing special or unusual.

(2) "Social" "science" has always tried to avoid #desistance and keep "both" "sides" playing the deadly game.

(3) Africans have a stronger moral sense than Euros. (As I've been observing for a long time.)

Relevant parts of the text:
The Faradic shock was then used. However, this involved a serious difficulty in getting subjects to continue the experiment after the first day. One of them — subject C, the colored janitor — had to be bribed, and even then he would not continue the experiment under any circumstances.

The results follow:

Subject (N.). After eight shocks the subject responded (without the shock) on the ninth trial, saying, "I got away from it." On the next two trials (the 10th and nth) he also responded and laughed. Reactions without the shock then came frequently on the following trials: 13th, 15th ("I am stealing on you here; I did not get it"), 16th, 17th, 18th, 19th, 21st, 22nd, and successively after that, with the exception of an occasional shock given now and then as punishment when the subject did not react quickly enough.

Subject (C). The colored janitor. (As stated before, this subject after the first shock had to be bribed to continue the experiment.) After 31 trials with the shock the subject reacted five times (on the 32nd, 33rd, 34th, 35th, 36th trials) to the positive stimulus without the shock, saying, "I jump just the same." On the 37th trial he did not respond and was punished (shocked). After that the reactions to the positive stimulus without the shock were frequent, as shown in the accompanying time curve (Figure VI). However, after having obtained the measure of 31 "conditioned reflexes," the subject would under no consideration continue the experiment. We therefore then took 36 conscious discrimination reactions to the hammer and released him.
The white grad students were mainly concerned with finding ways to cheat. The colored janitor knew the whole pile of shit was wrong. He wanted to keep his job, so he went along for a moment, but his moral sense overcame his fear quickly.

He #desisted, which was unthinkable. "He HAD TO be bribed". Keeping the experiment going was an automatic necessity, and all participants HAD TO remain involved. Morality and scruples HAD TO give way before the juggernaut of "science".

And what is the "scientific" question here? The purpose of the experiment? We didn't need experiments to prove that people learn to avoid pain. We needed experiments to REFINE AND PERFECT OUR TORTURE TECHNIQUES.

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Monday, September 23, 2019
  Too busy with serious matters

The Weather Bureau's forecasting has been sloppy lately.

Their daily outlook:



Weather.com hourly:



Real radar:



This isn't a convective popup. Those are genuinely hard to forecast. This is a nice Midwestern-style front that has been sliding across the state for several hours.

I guess they're busy watching Priestess Pippa Longstocking's screeeeeechfest and offering burnt Deplorables as contrite sacrifices to Gaia.

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Wednesday, September 04, 2019
  A message across the ages

The first organized (pre-electric) telegraph network was the 1793 Chappe system.

Short synopsis: The inventor, Claude Chappe, was a tragic figure, the classic introvert who let perfectionism kill him. Like most successful inventors, he had business-minded brothers who could carry the business side of the project.

Claude's first attempt was a clock-style telegraph. Each station had a synchronized continually rotating letter dial. The upper panel was white on one side and black on the other, and pivoted vertically. The sending station would give the panel a quick turn, switching the color, when the desired letter was on the clock; the receiver would see the flash and record the corresponding letter from his own clock.



Revolutionary mobs disapproved of this invention and burned it.



The family managed to get the attention of the ideologues, who saw the value of a nationwide system to carry military commands and propaganda. Claude's second invention was built quickly, with Chappe mechanisms mounted on every tall building and every available hill. After the revolution was replaced by the usual neocons, Napoleon expanded the network even more for military purposes.

From a beautifully written account at Parisian Fields blog:
But it seemed that the more his idea spread, the more Claude Chappe was beset by rivals, claiming they had had the idea first, or that they had a better idea, or that the clockmaker Bréguet was the real genius behind the invention. In 1805, suffering from depression, he committed suicide by throwing himself into a well at the main Telegraph Administration.
Perfectionism leads to the predictable all-or-nothing tragedy.

The business-minded brothers continued running the system until 1845, when it was replaced by a direct electrical metaphor in order to retain the SKILLS and continue the employment of the operators. Claude missed the chance to participate in the long success.

But maybe it's a good thing that he missed the later development.

From Parisian Fields again:
Around that time, twin brothers in Bordeaux, François and Louis Blanc, came up with a plan to bribe telegraph operators between Paris and Bordeaux to introduce “typos” (the French use the delightful word coquilles) into messages sent across the system; the coquilles indicated the direction of the Paris stock market each day. This allowed the brothers to beat the Bordeaux market in government bonds. They were eventually caught, and even tried, but since they had not broken an existing law (laws generally lag behind new technology), they were not punished.


More on the Blanc Brothers from an oddly translated Wikipedia article:
They grew up in a small town and were impressed every time circus came with a show - it seemed so interesting and simple so they followed the circus to learn all the tricks of the trade, boys were dreaming to become rich and successful and learnt so much and worked on different jobs.

The brothers started to work in gambling business in Marseilles and earning some money brothers decided to develop their business and started to speculate on government pensions and got into real estate development. In that way they attracted attention to their business and were arrested, but not for a long time because law was not adopted yet for such cases. They were released and moved to Paris, but after King Louis Philippe passed new laws they had to move again - to Luxembourgh. They ran profitable business there but it was just the first little step to their success in Hesse-Homburg near Frankfurt, where brothers signed a contract with a monarch because of debts of the city and in order to develop tourism industry. It happened that the Prince of Monaco had recently legalized gambling, so "The Magician of Homburg" became that first person to establish a casino operation in Monaco.
Government contracts + casinos = absolute corruption + absolute impunity.

Text communication systems always make it easier for Satan's stocksters to steal from honest businesses and governments. True from Chappe to Morse to Compuserve to Twitter.

= = = = =

I've "built" a model of the Chappe system, using the Chappe code. The model is sending a Carverian message from an introvert who has (more or less) conquered perfectionism to the ghost of Chappe, and to other introverts who tragically allow perfection to delete future joy.



A closeup look at the controls. Existing pictures are vague, so I designed a setup that would work if implemented. The pictures show ropes between the pulleys, but chains would have been better.



This system required considerable skill and brute strength. The stationnaires were expected to work 12/7/365 for 38 francs a month, roughly $150 now. They had to watch up and down the line for messages from other telegraphs, and then twist their wrists and bodies to resend the message. No wonder they were easy to bribe.

By contrast, the early dial telegraphs required no skill and no strength, and Morse requires considerable skill and no strength.

= = = = =

Here's a somewhat speculative model of the original clock-style. Happystar demonstrates the operation of the pivoted planche, which would be visible for about a mile in ideal conditions. This device would be especially suitable for night use. A single fixed torch could illuminate the planche; if the bright side was reflective metal, the signal could be visible for many miles.



The clock-style would require two people to operate properly. Polistra would be reading the text and watching the clock. When the next letter was about to hit, she would give a vocal command to Happystar. No skill, some strength.

= = = = =

The Poser set will be released when I finish the House-Brett printing telegraph, another no skill no strength system that didn't get very far.

Raises an interesting question: Successful systems required either physical strength or mental skill. Telegraphs that anyone could operate didn't succeed.


= = = = =

Stupid footnote: I initially assuméd that the namé had to be Chappé. Like most Americans, I automatically think that Frenchay worday alway enday with é. Laysay lay bon ton roulaaaay! The name just doesn't look right as Chappe, but in fact it is Chappe. One syllable.

= = = = =

Not quite stupid footnote: It's odd that Chappe's code didn't include separate characters for the various diacritics. A business or military message could be ambiguous without them. He used the Latin tradition of i=j, but included k and w as separate letters. Both are odd choices for French, where i and j are fully distinct while k and w are foreign and rare. See the 'lesser Russian alphabet' for another odd set of choices. /// LATER: He did include the diacritics and a few digraphs. I was using an improper account of his code.

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Saturday, August 31, 2019
  More on Real World Math

I've occasionally rambled about Real World Math. Using abstract equations works beautifully in the world of abstract equations, but leads us to some serious failures when we believe the world works like math.

The most obvious and most intentional failure is statistics. The mean can be figured in an equation, so we use it instead of the median. In fact the mean is rarely a useful 'handle' on real situations. The median is nearly always a better representation of middle or typical. Economists and Share Value Demons use the mean to persuade us that making Bezos richer is good for everyone. Other stats are just fancy ways of lying. An extremely old observation, but we still ignore it and still use stats as weapons.

A more subtle failure is thresholds and log-ness. Our senses function logly, not linearly, and we sense deltas, not steady states, and we sense things when they run over a threshold. Closed-form math can't handle any of this. A well-written algorithm can crudely approximate it.

In both of the above cases, computers are actually pretty good at handling Real World Math, but we don't use them properly because we don't understand that computers are sorters, not calculators.

Here's a new thought, still sort of tentative and outlined. I was waiting until I could fill in the details, then decided that the best way to fill them in is to publish it first.

= = = = =

We all learn the commutative, associative and distributive properties in math class. These three work together to make abstract calculation a lot easier, and they also work in a computer.

The commutative property is unnatural.

It doesn't work in any aspect of Real World Math. In real situations, the ORDER of addition is always crucial.

Real things, including lifespans, have a limited capacity. When you get near the top of the tank or the end of the lifespan, it's a lot harder to fill the tank or add the next element to the life.

Real tasks have a specific order of labor. You can't decide to do Step 3 before Step 2.

In chemistry and cooking, the order of ingredients is crucial. A recipe says add 0.5 cup of water, stir and beat, then add the other 1.5 cups. Reversing the order ruins the result.

In driving, the order of control inputs is crucial. Say the brake pedal goes down 2 inches at full pressure. When making a stop, you first move 1.5 inches to start decelerating, then the last half inch after you get near full halt. If you first move a half inch and then the last 1.5, you'll never stop at all.

Diminishing returns, or negative returns, are the NORM. Tanh and log handle this reality.

So it's not surprising that neurons reflect reality with log response.

= = = = = START PARTIAL REPRINT:

Look at any war in recent memory. You'll find the war was started by a rich tribe who wanted even more riches (or more macho) ... or by a rich tribe who wanted to bring down a competing rich tribe.

Impoverished people are concrete. They understand how life works. Above all they instinctively understand Diminishing Returns, or in mathy terms the sigmoid curve or tanh function. Life is all about the tanh.



Poor people understand the limits at both ends. Static friction and drag. You have to push the cart for a while before it starts to move; then you can move it faster by pushing harder; but beyond a certain speed extra effort doesn't gain more speed. Diminishing returns.

More broadly, a certain amount of effort is needed to start anything. You have to build a fence around your livestock or plow the fields or set up the fruit stand by the roadside.



After that, you're in the small linear region, where increasing effort will bring increasing return. Water the crops more, or feed the hogs more, you get more food. Spend more hours selling fruit, you get more money.



And poor people also understand that beyond a certain point your results will hit a ceiling, a saturation point where the friction negates your effort. So they don't try to quadruple their returns, and they don't try to steal their neighbor's livestock.



Most importantly, the poor understand the emotional aspects of Diminishing Returns. They know that having more cattle than you can handle is not better than having enough cattle to feed your kids. They sense that enjoyment does not continue to increase after you reach sufficiency.

Rich educated people don't know tanh. They have never planted a crop or turned a wrench or rocked a cradle. They have dealt with life at a clean distance, through lawyers and spreadsheets and Disposable Mexican Servants. They assume that life runs on a straight line.



They believe added effort will always yield added income. Most importantly they assume that increased income will continue to yield more enjoyment. Rich educated man thinks: "I have lots of Money and Power and Lebensraum, and I enjoy them. If I have twice as much Money and Power and Lebensraum, I will enjoy them twice as much."

That's why rich educated people make war. They don't know where to stop. They don't know that pleasure needs a foundation and has a roof. They are too fucking stupid to understand tanh.

= = = = = END PARTIAL REPRINT.

The associative property fails for similar reasons. See cooking and chemistry. Grouping ingredients 1 and 2 together gives a different result than grouping ingredients 2 and 3 together.

The distributive property is removed from reality by one step, so it's more safely contained within the abstract world and less likely to distort our thoughts.

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