More 1975 inflection
Continuing from 1975 as a point of inflection in the growth of Deepstate.

Again from Computers and Automation, Feb 74 issue.

Charles Suskind narrates the history of ethics versus technology. He starts with the County Extension Agent system, a successful use of 'light-handed' government to spread the latest research to farmers. The agents had to gain the trust of farmers, the most realistic people in the world, and convince them to try new plowing methods or new seeds. It didn't always work, and the new methods WEREN'T always better than the old. Suskind doesn't seem to grasp the latter point.

Suskind then shows how Hitler expanded the allegedly 'moral' goal of euthanasia for suffering terminal patients into a total extermination of Untermenschen.

Here we have a perfect echo in this year's holocaust, which began with Gaian eugenics and euthanasia and switched abruptly to extermination of Untermenschen. Greta ordered doctors and governments to Kill Granny, and they followed the order.

Suskind suggests a Hippocratic Oath for engineers, which misses two crucial points.

I solemnly pledge myself to consecrate my life to the service of humanity. I will give to my teachers the respect and gratitude which is their due; I will be loyal to the profession of engineering and just and generous to its members; I will lead my life and practice my profession in uprightness and honor; whatever project I shall undertake, it shall be for the good of mankind to the utmost of my power; I will keep far aloof from wrong, from corruption, and from tempting others to vicious practice; I will exercise my profession solely for the benefit of humanity and perform no act for a criminal purpose, even if solicited, far less suggest it; I will speak out against evil and unjust practice wheresoever I encounter it; I will not permit considerations of religion, nationality, race, party politics, or social standing to intervene between my duty and my work; even under threat, I will not use my professional knowledge contrary to the laws of humanity; I will endeavor to avoid waste and the consumption of non-renewable resources. I make these promises solemnly, freely, and upon my honor.

The good of humanity is the main problem. Euthanasia and eugenics are ALWAYS grounded on the greater good of humanity. Governments ALWAYS claim to be improving the breed of humanity by culling SUBHUMANS. Culling was quite open in Hitlerian language, and it's equally brazen in the language of both Gaians and Virans. "Science deniers" and "vax deniers" are subhuman vermin.

Serving INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS is the best way to be moral. When you want to SELL MORE PRODUCTS, you want to have MORE LIVING AND PROSPEROUS CUSTOMERS who can buy your stuff. Share Value broke this connection, leaving tech solely tied to Deepstate and Epstein.

And Epstein brings us to the other missing point, secrecy and blackmail.

Engineers were NOT secret-keepers before 1946. They respected patents and trade secrets, but patents aren't killers. A trade secret protects an amortized skill. It doesn't induce blackmail.

After the rebirth of Deepstate, the NSF and the nuclear program started bringing engineers into the fold. The sudden shift was visible in tech magazines between '45 and '46. The classic 'open source' attitude was still there in '45, spreading knowledge without breaking patents. In '46 everything was closed down to "protect against commie spies", who were of course really working for FBI.

Secrecy was well underway in 1957. I remember talking with one of my engineer uncles who was working at Los Alamos. He said he was working on rockets, and that's all he would say. In '58 Ike lamented the fast shift of tech firms from PROFIT AND CUSTOMERS to government contracts and secrecy.

By 1974 this shift was complete in electronics, but hadn't yet infected the newer software industry. Other writers in the same magazine were seeing it, but Suskind missed it.

His first example, the county extension program, belongs to the open source world. Serving the customer with some help from the government. His second example, Hitler's euthanasia/eugenics, belongs to the secret-keeping world, slaughtering the customer with plenty of help from the government. Engineers were already in the secret-keeping world in '74, so no pledge could pull them back.

Suskind also salutes Gaia at the end of his pledge, which would have helped to enable Greta's euthanasia/eugenics.

I'll try to be charitable and assume he was just a poor prophet, but I'm not in a charitable mood this year.

= = = = =

Continued here.

Labels: AI point-missing, defensible times, endless hell

  ¶ 11:53 AM

  McBee
McBee cards were an obscure but surprisingly long-lived alternative to IBM's fully mechanized sorters and organizers. Especially in biology and chemistry, they were still around in the 1990s.

Hollerith cards were punched by machine and sorted by machine all the way from the start in 1880.



McBee cards could be punched and sorted by machine. The punching side was partly mechanized, but the sorting side was usually done by hand.

This has advantages and disadvantages. The most obvious advantage is cost. For McBee you need to order some cards, and you need a ticket-punch and an icepick and some boxes. The cards are the only real cost. For IBM you need to order some cards, and you also need to rent a keypunch and a sorter for about $150 a month (equals $1000 a month today). Individuals and small businesses could afford McBee.

When modeling and animating these processes I'm on halfway familiar ground. In the '50s I often helped my father with mechanical grading and categorizing for his college lecture classes. It was a job I truly enjoyed. I did a lot of sorting, and a little bit of hand-punching, but never encountered the punching machine illustrated below.

A typical McBee card had punchable fields all around the edge, and a writable area in the middle. The open central area was another advantage over Hollerith, which was solidly filled with punchable numbers. You could type or handwrite a considerable amount of info or diagrams in the center.



Cards were printed in a wide variety of individual styles for each business or purpose. Some had specialized non-numerical categories, some were all numerical, some were mixed alphanumeric.

McBee cards had a unique arithmetic system, based on 1 2 4 7. The system isn't a proper base-15, though it ranges from 0 to 14. The choice of these four digits was supposedly a compromise to minimize the number of punches needed. You could form all the digits from 0 to 9 with one or two punches. This was slightly more efficient than 4-bit binary.



Letters were formed with 1 2 4 7 plus an extra, called NZ for nonzero. This was NOT more efficient than a 5-bit binary system, but the familiarity probably made it faster. Binary digits were totally foreign to most people until the 1980s, and it's always better to amortize an existing skill.

[Here's a comparison of efficiency in terms of total punches needed.]

One definite advantage of hand-sorted cards is flexibility of form. When the stack is going to be handled carefully and personally, you can include samples of material or photo images on or in each card. McBee cards with inset X-ray images were useful in medical records:



These inclusions couldn't pass through an IBM sorter or card-reader.

Hand punching was done with a special triangular hand punch that looked a lot like a ticket punch. My father didn't have the special, so we just used a ticket punch.

= = = = =

This punching machine was shown in one detailed description of McBee systems. No other information is available, so I'm semi-guessing the way it worked. I'm assuming that you would set up the patterns using the 8 columns of buttons for up to 8 numerical fields on one side of the card, then hit the big button on the right to punch these. The long side of a typical card contained 6 or 7 fields, so the 8 columns would usually handle one side of a card. I don't know what the 8 buttons on top were supposed to do. Maybe reset for each column? The process would have been like an adding machine except that you were consciously forming the 1247 pattern for each field.



Mr McBee has just punched in 1309, so the card would look like this after turning it over:



Now Polistra will demonstrate the first step of the selecting process. Assume she's looking for cards with 1309. She begins by finding cards with a 1 in the thousands place.

McBee selection is inverse to the usual way of thinking. It's more like the military volunteer method, where the soldiers who are NOT volunteering to check out the minefield are asked to step back, leaving the volunteers and the sleepers in the original row.

The poker was called a tumbler for some unknown reason. (It should have been a stinger.) Polistra inserts the tumbler into the 1 hole of the thousands field. Cards that were NOT punched in this slot can be pulled up, while the cards with a PUNCH in this digit stay down. She then places the UNWANTED cards in the red box, leaving only the few WANTED cards in the original blue box.



She would then tumble a 1 and a 2 in the hundreds field, to complete the 3; then do nothing for the zero in the tens field; then tumble the 2 and 7 in the ones field.

All remaining cards in the original blue box would then be 1309.



This may seem tiresomely slow, but the basic IBM sorter in that era also sorted one field at a time, with repeated sorts of the smaller remainders. The difference is that the IBM processed all digits in a numeric field at once. For cards with non-numerical fields, where each value in the field represented one value of a category (like M/F gender or Small/Medium/Large size) McBee and IBM would need the same number of passes.

McBee later made a more IBMish puncher and sorter, but no info is available online except this one picture:



This machine didn't gain popularity for an obvious reason. When you OWN a niche, you need to claim and optimize the niche. Customers bought McBee BECAUSE it was naturally visual and lo-tech. McBee customers weren't buying McBee because they WISHED it was more like IBM.

Admittedly their marketers finally picked up the beehive theme!

Labels: defensible times, Equipoise

  ¶ 2:51 PM

  Rogan and Gupta
This week's hardass interview of Gupta is obviously refreshing and maybe just a teensy fraction hopeful.

Rogan had all the EXPERIENTIAL FACTS on his side, not EXPERT THEORIES. He RELENTLESSLY pursued Gupta, who had only the usual media murder on his side. No pause, no quarter, no room for "agree to disagree". These are the facts and you are LYING LYING LYING LYING. Gupta finally buckled, after playing all the usual shit games, and admitted that he was LYING.

In a totally busted and de-trusted former civilization, where all leaders and influencers are either holocaustal NAZI NAZI NAZI demons or fake Pied Pipers, RELENTLESS hammering on the side of facts is vanishingly rare.

Why is this possibly micro-hopeful?

Because in this instance CNN was punching up, not punching down. Rogan's audience is bigger than CNN's audience, and his audience is paying specifically for his program, not just part of a Basic Cable Package.

Media are accustomed to punching down, slaughtering the low-status Deplorables. Rogan looks like a Deplorable to them, but his AUDIENCE IS BIGGER. The usual condescension and arrogance doesn't work when you're punching upward.
  ¶ 9:23 AM

  Edmund Berkeley on Parkinson
From an article in Computers and Automation, Sept 73, p 6 of the PDF.

He's discussing Establishments in the broadest sense.

From my study of and experience with establishments, I believe the following natural laws apply:

• Because an establishment develops to perform a function, usually at the outset it performs the function very well, and so it derives a great deal of its strength from its belief in the "obvious" importance and worthwhileness of its function.

• As an establishment ages over the years, it tends to become more and more blind and bureaucratic in its behavior.

• An establishment develops fashions, fads, and mythology such as the "national security" blanket; the "peace with honor" hoax; etc.

• An establishment will not willingly tolerate truth that puts it in an unfavorable light.

• An establishment is a kind of system, and therefore should be made subject to all the laws for the proper functioning of systems, INCLUDING FEEDBACK CONTROL.

In other words, for nearly all the years that an establishment is in existence, the correction and modification of that establishment by applying truth to it is vitally necessary.

Here is another reason why those persons who are now ca!led "computer professionals" need to concern themselves with truth, in great variety and on many levels. Information processing is really important only if you are dealing with the truth.

Unfortunately it didn't happen. The total transition from analog to digital removed feedback from the technical understanding of the profession. Share Value removed feedback from the economic side of the business. Epstein removed facts and truth.

The economic end would probably be easiest to fix, by restoring profit to business and restoring the profit MOTIVE to establishments and governments. Ideally an establishment should gain money by SOLVING problems, not by UNSOLVING problems. I've been discussing this fix in the Trinity House theme.

Labels: Parkinson, Trinity House

  ¶ 11:43 PM

  Constants and Variables 168, Lowenstein edition
Since I just bashed Unz, let's balance it with praise for ONE of the columnists. Barrett appears (at the moment anyway) to be a relatively true beacon. He hasn't showed the Pied Piper colors YET.

His latest audio clip is an interview with a pair of high-status hippies, Paul Fitzgerald and Elizabeth Gould. Unlike most high-status hippies, Paul and Elizabeth didn't join Deepstate. They continued working on the side of truth.

They see more or less the same things I'm seeing, from a different angle. I see these monstrosities from a scientist/engineer temperament. Paul and Elizabeth (and Barrett as well) see the trends from a historian/journalist temperament.

The story starts with a point of intersection between the two angles, a 'controlled experiment' that shows the distinction between high-status and low-status hippies. The constant in the experiment is Allard Lowenstein.

Paul Fitzgerald met Allard Lowenstein while involved in the 1980 Teddy Kennedy campaign. Lowenstein recognized him as a distant relative of the Kennedys, and confided in him that the truth about the assassinations would eventually come out. (Of course it hasn't yet.)

I met Lowenstein in Jamestown NY while I was campaigning for Gene McCarthy in 1968. A group of Bobby Kennedy campaigners was also working in Jamestown. Lowenstein gathered up both crews and gave us a pep talk. So I got a handshake from Lowenstein.

High status vs low-status.

Paul and Elizabeth discuss four important themes at length in the interview.

1. The Fairness Doctrine WORKED, and we need to bring it back.

2. Medieval mode. We're back in 1300.

3. Endless wars and staged "threats".

4. Psychopaths are in charge, and psychopaths have a burning need to OBLITERATE EVERYTHING. Each demon wants to be the SOLE OCCUPANT OF THE UNIVERSE.

In each case, Paul and Elizabeth treat these subjects from a historical and theological angle, while I treat them from neurology and the predestined course of the universe. Both angles are needed for a complete picture.

Labels: 2000=1000, Constants and Variables, endless hell, Parkinson

  ¶ 12:27 PM

  An odd type of identity theft
Sometimes I'll look at an old article on a website and see a comment that looks like something I'd write. Hey, there's a kindred spirit! Then I notice the name and realize it WAS me, under the handle of Polistra or one of my older Ockham-style handles.

What's the opposite? Seeing a comment that DOESN'T look like something I'd write, then checking the name and seeing it was posted by Polistra.

The latter doesn't happen often because most websites don't allow you to pick a name that's already used.

Apparently Unz doesn't follow that rule. I hadn't been commenting much there because I got tired of the false flags. Nearly everything on Unz is obvious 'controlled opposition', steering dissidents into positions that can be tinfoiled.

Now I'm seeing prolific comments under my handle, and they're NOT the sort of thing I'd write. Many of these comments are being 'moderated'.

I don't think there's any meaningful way to take action, and the spoof is probably harmless unless the spoofer gets seriously illegal. Unz's moderators are pretty careful about seriously illegal stuff.

All I can do is post a notice, here and at Unz, that 'the original Polistra' will never comment again, so everything under this handle from now on will be from 'the spoof Polistra'.

Labels: Bemusement

  ¶ 5:41 AM

  RAMAC
In 1957 IBM's RAMAC system brought together a number of trends and patterns into a new EQUIPMENT.

Trend 1:

Ramac was the first EQUIPMENT for business. In military procurement an equipment is a complete system including all parts necessary. An equipment for pigeoneers included a mobile loft, a prefab stationary loft, cages, feeding dishes, and pigeons. An equipment for aircraft radio included the transmitter and receiver in the aircraft, the transmitter and receiver on the ground, and all necessary wires and microphones and earphones and dynamotors and batteries and antennas.

IBM had been producing individual machines for business (hence the name) since 1890, but hadn't made an equipment before. RAMAC was designed from end to end for the needs of accounting, not for any other skill or department. The acronym was Random Access Method of Accounting and Control.

The M was a little tricky, and the AC was a pun of sorts. M originally stood for Memory, but some other company had the trademark, so M had to be Method. AC habitually stood for Automatic Computer in the usual acronyms, so the name was recognizable as meaning an Automatic Computer even though it 'really' meant Accounting and Control. And it was explicitly for accounting:



Note that the input and output were IBM's default cards. The system included at least one memory drum, which was an established machine at the time, and several magnetic memory matrices. Those weren't the New and Improved part. Reynold Johnson's multiple disk was the iconic part of RAMAC.

= = = = =

Trend 2:

Recording and storing sound and data have mostly taken separate paths, occasionally converging and then diverging again.

Recording and storing DATA has gone through three stages.

Tape, cylinder, disk.

Cards are a subset of tape. Jacquard stored programs on a chained set of metal cards, essentially a jointed tape. Early telegraph systems used punched tape, and computers continued the form well into the 1970s.

Hollerith established free-standing cards as the default physical data holder for computers in 1890.

Magnetic recording began with Valdemar Poulsen, primarily responsible for the wire recorder. Poulsen also tried a magnetic disk, similar in size and shape to the RAMAC disks.



Wire started widening into tape around 1940, as plastic manufacturing matured. Wire was never used for data, but magnetic tape quickly became the standard for internal storage of data, with cards as the human-readable inputs and outputs.

= = = = =

Trend 3:

Reynold Johnson joined IBM in the '30s and brought the world of analog thinking and sense transducing into the mechanistic and digital world of sorters and collators. Johnson's team was responsible for the multiple hard disk that formed the unique center of RAMAC.

= = = = =

IBM threw a nationwide party to introduce RAMAC, with showings in major cities, following GM's Motorama trend.



Again the name had to be slightly offbase. Ramarama wouldn't do.

Later, RAMAC served to keep score at the 1960 winter Olympics, with more hoopla.





Note the lack of OCD. Smoking and eating around the computer were EXPECTED. Machines and humans were both designed to tolerate normal life.

= = = = =

As an Equipment, RAMAC was meant to be set up in exactly one configuration, and IBM provided all necessary cabling to set it up.

Proper setup:



The floor plan with exact measurements:



= = = = =

Now my version, demonstrated as usual by Polistra and Happystar.





Unlike the other memory devices, the 350 hard disk had a glass front. Ramarama again.



It was sometimes called the Jukebox Memory for obvious reasons. Each disk was coated on both sides, and the arm traveled radially in and out to reach any point on any of the 50 disks in a few milliseconds. The up/down and in/out movements were both driven by servomotors. Up/down was on a pulley, and in/out was a rack and pinion. The base of the 305 box included an air compressor, with hoses to each head to maintain spacing from the surface.



Other parts of the system were older technologies, mainly using cards.

Each machine had at least one internal plugboard, continuing the programming technique that began with Hollerith's first 1880 census tabulator:



A fast printer was available:



The console at right had a card reader:



And a conventional typewriter for output in more readable form:



Only a few thousand RAMACs were installed, but they changed the landscape of computing.


= = = = =

Footnote: Credit to Ed Thelen's RAMAC site for most of the necessary information.

Labels: Alternate universe, Equipoise

  ¶ 9:16 AM

  Reprint on closure
From 2016, a different angle on the sequence of closing the physical world and then closing the virtual world.

= = = = = START REPRINT:

Infrastructure is meant to be STATIC. Roads and bridges and sewer systems and rules of morality and rules of discussion and written laws and computer operating systems are all supposed to HOLD STILL so you can USE THEM to get things done. Navigating a fast-changing set of social or moral rules is like driving on Galloping Gertie. There may be a line down the middle where you can slowly crawl across to your destination, but the risk is so obvious that a sane human just doesn't bother. Your best bet for survival is to stay where you are. Shelter in place until the shaking reaches you and kills you.

I first grasped this point in 1978, realizing that a classroom conducted with old-fashioned decorum was MORE OPEN to discussion of new ideas. Classrooms conducted by Alinskyan 'anything goes' behavior were dominated by bullies and tyrants who enforced orthodox doctrine.

Constants allow variables, variables force constants.

I considered the same point in the realm of culture and religion here.

In the technical world:

When building an EXE for use in Windows, you can count on a consistent set of API rules. The native Win functions are well defined, and the workings of C++ are well defined. Provided you understand both of these rule sets and use them correctly, you can predict what will happen when you write something like

MoveToEx(this->hdc,NewPt.x,NewPt.y,NULL);

When you put all those pieces together into a self-contained EXE, you know it will run on the Win versions that were specified in the rules. If there are problems, you can be 99% sure the problems are your own fault, even though you'll always waste time by blaming Windows first.

In the new world of HTML5 and CSS and SVG and JS, none of those certainties exist. All of those standards are only partly standardized and constantly changing, and you can't count on a package running on all common platforms. If it runs today, a version change by Firefox or Chrome may blow it up tomorrow.

In other words, 'platform-independent' really means 'excruciatingly platform-dependent.'

The platform-makers obviously love this, because they have finally reclaimed the power they lost when Windows owned the universe.

= = = = =

Comes down to this pair:

When the rules are stable, ordinary people can function.

When the rules are changing all the time, only the rulemakers can function.

I was looking again at my courseware product in its old EXE form and in its new JS form. The old form was packed with ORIGINAL graphics and ORIGINAL ways of presenting material and asking questions. The new form looks just like any other Imperial web page, with rounded buttons telling User to SUBMIT. Why? Because I was required to use the 'Twitter Bootstrap' pre-written code as the base of the presentation. And why did I have to use 'Twitter Bootstrap'? Because it's AUTHORITATIVELY VARIABLE. It's not contained in my code. It's strictly owned and controlled by the MASTERS OF VARIATION.

POINT: You can't have your own tools.

You must borrow the tools provided by the Master, because only the Master knows which tools will work at this millisecond on the systems run by the Master. When the Empire DDOS's Twitter to prevent Assange from insulting the Empress, everything that actively uses Twitter resources, even indirectly or unintentionally, also goes down.

= = = = = END REPRINT from 2016.
  ¶ 12:14 AM

  Since I'm focusing....
Since I'm focusing on blackmail today, here's a post from last year that deserves more attention. The main point is that Deepstate uses blackmail to suppress rebellion, and ALSO uses blackmail to recruit competent blackmailers. It's a double-action tool. This was dramatically obvious in the Epstein story.

= = = = = START REPRINT:

Basic generality: All factions of Deepstate are blackmailers.

Blackmailer is another name for secret-keeper. Any profession that has the habit of confidentiality will end up blackmailing and destroying normal people if it's not rigidly constrained.

The first Deepstate was Rome. Priests hear confessions, which gives them material for blackmail. Priests commit every crime in the book, and use Original Sin to make normal people feel guilty for the priestly crimes, while the priests are officially infallible, protected from prosecution by the secrets they own.

Later versions of Deepstate picked up the Roman model. Keep secrets to create blackmail, force normal people to bear the guilt. (Are you helping the Commies? Helping the RadicalIslamicTerrorists? Helping the AltRightQanonTrumpNazis? Helping the "virus"? You are, whether you know it or not.) Modern Deepstates always include spies and intel agencies, the best secret-keepers and blackmailers of all.

Wilson's version of Deepstate was developed by Lady Edgar, the ideal Roman and the champion blackmailer, starting the apostolic succession of Roy Cohn and Jeffrey Epstein. (Who comes after Epstein? No need for the question since Epstein is still running the show. He was simply castled.)

The tech Deepstate of the last two decades reproduces the priestly pattern with NDAs as the seal of confidentiality and social media as the confessional, letting Jobs and Zuck and Ellison know the innermost thoughts and detailed daily movements of the sinners.

This year's priesthood arises from the former "medical" profession, another gang of secret-keepers, specifically enabled by HIPAA. This year's Original Sin is "mask deniers" and "superspreaders". We must comply more and more in thought and deed while the rulers openly and brazenly violate their own rules and commit every crime in the book plus an infinite number of new crimes unimagined before. Infallible priests.

= = = = =

EXCEPTION: One branch of Deepstate doesn't quite fit the pattern. Environmentalism certainly has Original Sin, and has Carbon Offsets, an exact copy of indulgences. But it doesn't have an obsession with secrecy, and doesn't actively commit blackmail. The 2009 hack showed Michael Mann and his cohorts concealing data and pulling dirty tricks against competing academics. The tricks were just unfair, not forcible extortion. Smart competitors can counteract data suppression** and ruthless competition. You can't defend against forced extortion.

I was reminded of this by a splendid article in Unherd, written by an experienced British forester and farmer. Boris achieved Brexit so he could be MORE free to commit genocide. He started with "climate" genocide then smoothly jumped into the "virus" holocaust. This article points out the natural harm of planting trees as indulgences. Trees are imperialists. An overgrown forest is NOT a balanced landscape; everything in it is designed by the trees to favor the trees. There's more biodiversity in a cleared meadow under a powerline than in the virgin forests around the clearing.

Some of the "climate" operatives use social media to find and shame "climate" BadThinkers, but this isn't a formalized blackmail network, and there isn't a tradition of confessional secrecy in environmentalism.

When I see a major exception like this, it's a pretty good sign that I'm missing some of the facts. I'll keep watching.

= = = = =

** HIPAA and secrets are just plain impossible with natural data. Mann had a proprietary set of tree-ring and ice-core measurements that supposedly supported his evil theories. Well, you don't have to wait for him to reveal his data, and you don't have to file futile FOIA suits. You can find other tree rings and ice cores and make your own measurements. BE YOUR OWN BEACON.


= = = = = END REPRINT.

See also. And see also.
  ¶ 2:31 PM

  Another closure sequence
Thinking about closure of info, here's another category of previously available info that is closed off now. I've discussed this many times. Radio and TV and newspapers used to warn us about frauds and rackets and blackmail. All the common methods were described and dramatized clearly, and prosecuted harshly.

Now we're not allowed to learn how scams work, and all talk of blackmail is tinfoiled into oblivion. Blackmail is rarely prosecuted because it's a government program.

Ran into a good example of the old style in this Charlie Chan movie. Chan has exposed a 'psychic' cult leader who was profiting massively from blackmail. His followers were required to gather info to serve his 'telepathy' act, and he then used the same info to blackmail others.



Blackmail plus Big Data, 1938 style. Now it's much easier, but we're not allowed to see how it works.
  ¶ 8:52 PM

  Sequence of closure
Here's a half-baked or maybe milli-baked thought.

Since 1946, Deepstate first closed down the physical channels to information and then closed down the mental channels to information.

Before the Web, acquiring information took physical work, skills and knowledge. You had to own a shortwave radio, or run your own experiments, or take care of your own body, or search on foot through the old stacks of a library, or find and subscribe to obscure newsletters.

Those activities were physically difficult and sometimes expensive, but they were AVAILABLE AND LEGAL. Shortwave receivers were common, and stations were all over the world. You could buy all sorts of chemicals and medications at the hardware store or pharmacy. The libraries were open to anyone. Obscure newsletters were eager to gain new customers.

The physical channels are already closed, and the "replacement" virtual channels are starting to close as well. The shortwave band is abandoned. All chemicals are forbidden by EPA. All medicines are forbidden by FDA. All methods of maintaining health and immunity are LETHALLY forbidden by CDC. Google's online library is removing entire classes of info and maps. Newsletters are published via Facebook, which is shutting them down.

Result: First we lost the SKILLS of acquiring and distributing info physically, and then we lost the CHANNELS for acquiring info without skills.

Parallel to the central/decentral timeline for media described here.

Parallel to Deepstate's ruination of industry. First we offshored the skills to China, and now we're closing down access to the remote skills in China.

Labels: #WholeOfSociety, endless hell, MMT, skill-estate

  ¶ 8:35 PM

  IBM had Pascal in 1957!
No, not Turbo Pascal. Pascal's adder.

Continuing my 1957 IBM theme:

IBM's field engineers sometimes needed to figure in hexadecimal. IBM made sure its engineers were equipped with superdeluxe pocket-size hex calculators.

But they weren't electronic. IBM's engineers were using the original mechanical adding machines while servicing the most advanced electronic sorting machines.



I saw this on Ebay and had to buy it. Closeup view:



On the back it says MADE IN USA, and lists Patent number 2797047. The patent (for decimal, not hex) was granted to Sterling Plastics in New Jersey in 1957.



Somebody had scratched 'Bad Carry' on the back, but the carry action works fine. It just needed to be loosened up. The only problem is that it doesn't have a convenient way to reset to zero. The older Addometer pictured above it had a reset lever.

Sterling sounded familiar but I couldn't place it at first. I have several slide rules made by Sterling.



The Slide Rule Museum gives a history of Sterling and shows its decimal adders, which were sold commercially. Presumably the hex version was a special 'fleet order' for IBM.

Labels: Happy Ending, new toy

  ¶ 1:50 PM

  Epstein prophecy
Continuing from ACM, Oct 1969. Those dissidents knew what would happen when an Epstein, aided by Big Data, was able to monitor everyone in real time.

This author was noticing proposals for a National Data Bank, and proposals for a cashless society. He wrote a parody, supposedly dated 1987.



Swift and SWIFT would be proud.

= = = = =

1987 was an interesting date. Roy Cohn, who operated the old-fashioned way, stopped blackmailing in 1986. Epstein started his blackmail business in 1981, and took over Cohn's government contracts after 1986. But Epstein didn't take over the tech world until the mid 90s. Of course the government itself had been using computerized data for its own blackmail operations since 1890. The older tech firms had been part of Deepstate since the '50s. Epstein's contribution to the extortion industry was flipping those Silicon Valley outsiders, not bringing in tech as such.

Labels: Jackboot stomping forever, NOT alternate universe

  ¶ 8:46 AM

  The one question we don't need to ask
1975 was unquestionably a major point of inflection in the Long March of Deepstate toward total obliteration of civilization.

Edmund Berkeley had been quietly editing the establishment journal of the ACM since the late '50s. In the '70s he got pissed, and he steered the journal toward more noisy and serious anti-establishment advocacy.

The Feb '75 issue includes two articles that show what it felt like to live inside an inflection point.

= = = = =

First:

On p 28, Joe Raben, a prof of English at CUNY, writes on the future of computers in education.

It's worth remembering that mechanical and electronic teaching machines had already been around for a hundred years, and had already established the operating methods of courseware. Present the material, then present a series of questions and record the answers.

Personal computers were EXACTLY on the inflection point in '75. IBM had just introduced its first PC, which didn't succeed commercially; and DEC personal machines were already common but not really general-purpose computers.

Raben is pushing hard for a more individual approach to teaching, more like apprenticeship. He foresees the interactive potential of computers only in a vague abstract way, even though mechanical and (non-digital) electronic machines were already fully interactive.

In this new learning environment, the student need not be restricted to verbal or symbolic information. Since the cathode-ray tube on his terminal is designed to project visual images, he can call up all kinds of pictures, and the treasures of the world's art collections will be his to command.

He can have performed on a tape recorder whatever music he is interested in hearing, while on his screen he watches the notes that represent it. He can hear great poetry spoken, he can watch a surgical operation performed, he can have a geometrical theorem demonstrated, he can watch the re-enactment of a historical event.

And no nervous human teacher, anxious about distractions to himself and to the other students in the class, will have to concern himself over whether that student is chewing gum, doodling, or in any other way relieving the tensions of his own concentration. We give adult workers in our factories soft music to ease their efforts; when can we begin to show equal sympathy for the strains we impose on hyperactive kids when we compel them to sit for hours and listen to us talk at them?

He misses the main purpose of apprenticeship. Job training doesn't just individualize the passive experience of a classroom. Training engages the student in a PRODUCTIVE task. Making things, serving customers.

In '82, just a few years after the '75 inflection point, many programmers (including me) were starting to use the interactive potential of the computer for job training. Visual graphics had been around since the '20s on analog computers, and since 1950 on specialized digital terminals. Audio was much slower to develop, as always; but it was expensively available on PCs in '81. (A professional-level ADC/DAC accessory board was $1500.)

= = = = =

Second:

On p 36, Richard Sprague goes deep into Deepstate's nefarious activities, which had just been fakely "exposed" by the Watergate crap. Watergate was meant to attach the evil to Nixon, then kick out Nixon to "remove the evil", like an anti-rust anode on a ship.

Sprague wasn't fooled. He had been organizing computer professionals to analyze aspects of the JFK assassination, and had seen Deepstate's stings and controlled opposition up close.

An organization I belong to, called "The Organizing Committee for the Fifth Estate," has decided to concentrate on the issue. It is the growing, illegal, immoral, and clandestine use of various methods and policies by the intelligence "community" in the U.S. This ·development could lead us toward what we may call "technofascism," a dictatorship in the U.S. by technologists in the Interests of the military-industrial complex. The methods involved include the use of computer technology and information systems. The Fifth Estate defines the clandestine intelligence "community" as including secret divisions or departments or contractors or subcontractors of agencies and groups at four levels of government; federal, state, regional, and local.

Evidence is mounting that all four levels are currently increasing (and not decreasing) the amount of illegal, unethical, immoral, and unconstitutional activity, aimed at reducing or limiting the rights of citizens and increasing the power of the clandestine groups.

On the fucking dot.

To sum up, I recommend again, as three controversial issues for discussion:

1. Who is assassinating our political leaders and why?

2. What activities are leading us toward "technofascism," how can they be exposed and stopped?

3. Where and how is the American establishment using technology in other countries around the world to help suppress people and murder them?

On all the fucking dots.

50 years later his grim prophecies have come true, and the genuine opposition never got any traction.

The metaquestions are:

4. What happened to those three questions?

5. What happened to the people who were asking them?

A question that DOESN'T need to be asked is:

0. How did the entire tech establishment join Deepstate?

We know the answer to this one. Epstein.

And those dissidents WERE aware of the power of an Epstein.

Labels: Answered better than asked, Experiential education, Jackboot stomping forever

  ¶ 7:10 AM

  Sewell hits a huge point
I need to interrupt my ceaseless point-missing-finding expedition to note an extremely sharp BULLSEYE by Granville Sewell.

He demolishes a common AI myth with a perfectly simple bit of logic that SHOULD be obvious. But it's not obvious to anyone else. It wasn't obvious to me. I never noticed the problem.

In a post here (“The First ‘Simple’ Self-Replicator?”), I tried to explain why self-replicating machines are so far beyond current human technology, by imagining trying to design something as “simple” as a self-replicating cardboard box. Take an empty cardboard box, I said, and build a completely automated factory inside which can produce empty cardboard boxes. The factory would, I presume, at least need to have some metal parts to cut and fold the cardboard and a motor with a battery to power these parts. But since the box now only builds empty boxes, it is not a self-replicator. So we would need to add another factory that could automatically produce a box with an empty box-building factory inside, and that factory would be enormously more complicated. But this box is still not a self-replicator because the box it builds can only build empty boxes, so now we need to add more technology to build a factory that builds the empty box-building factory, and then…. All of this ignores, of course, the very difficult question of where the box gets the cardboard and metals and other raw materials needed to supply its factories.

In fact we've had fully automatic box-making machines for at least 100 years, long before computers. What we don't have, and absolutely CAN'T have, is an infinite regress of box-making machine-making machine-making machine-making machine-making ....

The resource problem is outside of the infinite regress, and thus not PERFECTLY unsolvable. We have never developed a machine that seeks and extracts water and minerals and sunlight, and assembles a new machine with the full capacity to assemble more machines. Plants do it all the time.

This resource extraction mechanism is at least conceivable, not perfectly logically impossible.

Labels: Not AI point-missing

  ¶ 12:03 PM

  SETI + METI = SILLY
More silliness about talking to aliens.

SETI/METI is the ultimate replacement of What by Who. Aliens are expected to be cult leaders for the cult of IQ and abstraction. Presumably they will be just like Fauci but cooler. We are waiting to be led by them.

Vakoch is planning on sending messages containing references to the periodic table. The idea being that certain elements, such as hydrogen, are abundant across the Universe so any receiving civilisation is likely to recognise a reference to the chemical signature of those elements.

Another important requirement is making sure that whoever is on the receiving end of the message knows what they’re tuning into, says Jacob Haqq-Misra, a researcher at the Blue Marble Space Institute of Science. “The basic idea is to define some sort of mathematical language,” he says. Initial messages might establish some basics. One is not equal to zero, but one is equal to one, for example. “And now we've established a common language, we can talk about physics with each other.”

No, no, no. Your "basics" are NOT the basics of math. Axioms and definitions are the fake "foundation" stuffed under the REAL structure of math by Peano and Hilbert and Godel.

Why should we talk about physics? Real humans don't talk about physics.



One good idea: Do what hams do. Talk about antennas and transmitters and receivers and propagation. In other words, talk about the process of communicating.

A better idea: Talk in parallel instead of serial. Talk the way we talk. Send harmonies on many frequencies at once, so the receiving party could build a 3d object from the spectrogram.

The best idea: Shut up. First listen to the universe itself, instead of searching for a cult leader who is Just Like Me But Cooler. Figure out what the universe has in mind for us and for me.

This was the purpose of astronomy from Plato through the Arabs and Persians to Brahe and Kepler. After Kepler we stopped listening to the universe and started listening to cult leaders who spoke in the name of Science.

= = = = =

Later and more random thoughts:

Discussion of aliens is packed full of CASTE. The trite old cartoons featured an alien who looks like a vacuum cleaner approaching an Earthly vacuum cleaner and saying "Take me to your leader." He wasn't saying "Tell me about your life and your place."

The people who wish for aliens are high-caste Courtiers, the same type who wish to be leaders. Courtiers dress like leaders (including ballgags), drive the right cars and eat the right foods and medicines as recommended by leaders. They don't realize the leaders don't actually wear or eat or drive or inject any of those recommendations. It's a cargo cult.

BUT: The people who report actual contacts with aliens are pure 100% Deplorables. White Christians in Dixie, the lowest caste of all, the caste every leader and influencer wants to EXTERMINATE, but only Lincoln actually accomplished the task.

Conclusion: If the aliens are really landing and contacting us, they're good scientists following Carver's rules. They realize that Deplorables are sane. They want to interrogate sane realistic people instead of wacked-out cargo cultists. A vacuum cleaner can tell you more about the house than the owner can.

Labels: AI point-missing, Carver, Real World Math

  ¶ 12:35 AM

  Time was a whole bunch of money!
In previous item I noted that the AI speech synthesizer for a video failed to look up an unfamiliar word, just tried to pronounce it without even following normal English semi-rules. How much time would the lookup take? Maybe 20 milliseconds at best, a few seconds at worst. Locating a fact on the web is much slower and less predictable than internal processing, even if the synthesizer had a 'favored' connection to Google.

Time was a vastly more important limiting factor than memory size in the early mainframe era, mainly because computers were rented. We usually focus on the limited memory and miss the time cost.

Chart from Datamation June '64.



The cost to compile 100 COBOL statements varied unpredictably from twenty cents to twenty dollars! No correlation with monthly rental. Note that IBM 70xx series computers were at both ends of the scale.

Unsurprisingly, the same issue of Datamation had a long article on the pros and cons of timesharing.

Labels: Constants and Variables, Metrology

  ¶ 3:21 PM

  Chancy niche
Pointed by UncommonDescent, a truly weird creature....



Triops is a mini-trilobite. In a larger size it would be scary as hell, but at this size it's sort of cute.

It's weird in two ways.

1. The eyes themselves are not weird. They're typical arthropod eyes, two big compound eyes with one or more light-sensors between them. (Note that the AI generating the synthetic speech in the video doesn't know the word 'ocellus'.) The mounting is weird. Normally arthropod eyes would be on the sides of a very small head, surveying all directions at once. On Triops the eyes are inside the huge shield, pointing only forward. This defeats the advantage of compound eyes without adding any obvious counter-advantage.

2. It emerges from eggs only in an uncertain and brief environment. Dry lakes may go for many years without enough rain to be worth hatching, and only last a few days or at most weeks when they do get wet. Many insects have a long larval or non-reproductive stage and a brief flying or swarming stage. For example, the aphids who swarmed here last week. But the Triops pattern is more like plants than animals. Purely dormant for years if necessary, emerging into life only when conditions are just right.

The uncertain environment has one obvious advantage: Predators can't depend on Triops as a food source, and can't develop strategies for hunting it.

I guess Triops is just an extreme example of the Booker T rule. Find your niche and stick to it. Store your skills and amortize. In this case we have 350 million years of amortizing.

Sidenote on AI: A human announcer hired to do a voiceover would rehearse the script first, catch the unfamiliar word, and look it up. In the age of radio, announcers were expected to be thoroughly versed in the phonetics of most languages, and expected to have serious dictionaries on hand for unfamiliar words. The AI didn't bother to look up the unfamiliar word. It wasn't in the standard database, so the AI guessed badly, not following the normal phonetic semi-rules of English.

Labels: AI point-missing, Carver, storage

  ¶ 11:31 PM

  Where's Shannon when we need him?
Yeah, I know Shannon was actually talking about signal/noise ratio in cables, but like Heisenberg his highly technical rule has turned into a useful broad definition.

The broad definition:

News is new. Information is surprising.

This is also the natural definition of information, embodied in every level of every nervous system. Neurons are designed to ignore unchanging data and pay SHARP ATTENTION to departures from the unchanging pattern.

"News" media have always violated Shannon, and government "investigations" and "revelations" also turn Shannon upside down. Media try to generate fake deltas and fake surprise from totally old and unsurprising data. Deepstate sometimes "leaks" shocking facts like Heat Is Hot or Gravity Exists, carefully reworded to sound new.

Today's fake "news" is the Pandora Papers, a second chapter of the Panama Papers. Both of these "leaks" tell us that rich fuckheads never pay for anything. Heat is hot. Water is wet.

What's the point of these specific "leaks"? We can safely assume that they are just another way to kill the competition. The "investigators" are funded by Soros, which should tell you everything. These "leaks" give the government a reason to punish dictators and fuckheads who offend Soros.

Analyzing this type of data requires holding an internal template of all the fuckheads who should be included, and comparing this template with the fuckheads who were actually mentioned in the report. We don't have a strong natural talent for "what's missing" questions, so we need external helpers like written checklists or McBee cards or Hollerith's sorter or Reynold Johnson's multiple comparator.

Labels: Sorosia

  ¶ 5:33 AM

  When analog fertilized digital
IBM started with the purely digital and mostly mechanical Hollerith sorter. The sorter remained mostly mechanical for many decades. In the '30s the company expanded into generalized Business Machines, everything from intercoms to timeclocks. As part of their expansion they took a chance on a mostly analog invention, and the resulting hybrid grew and flourished.

In 1932, high school physics teacher Reynold Johnson got tired of grading tests. He took advantage of his unique knowledge and talents to build a test-grading machine.

His original prototype was crude, just a proof of concept, and wouldn't have helped in grading. His second idea caught the attention of an important statistician, who brought it to IBM.

Top view:



Side view:



His prototype used the same principle as the Hollerith punch. Remove material to create a conductive spot. The test paper would be conductive, and coated with a set of pasted-on non-conductive squares. The student would peel off a square for each desired answer, and a matrix of pins would make contact with the conductive paper. A key sheet with the correct answers would occupy a second pin-press, and lights would indicate where the student paper's conductivity disagreed with the key sheet's conductivity. The paper would be expensive to make, and the process would be too delicate for most students.

This first concept was purely digital, with a glowing lamp for each peeled square that disagreed with the peeled square on the key sheet. The teacher would be able to see which of the peeled spots disagreed with the key sheet, which she could have seen easily enough without the whole mechanism!

Johnson's second concept, like many Big Ideas, inverted the original. Instead of removing an insulator to create a conductive point, add a conductive point to create a conductive point. Replace punches with pencils. Wireless experimenters were familiar with the semiconductor properties of graphite. Johnson placed a pair of contacts close together on each standardized square of ordinary paper. If there was a smear of graphite in this narrow rectangle, there would be a current between the contacts.

Now the analog and balancy part takes over. Instead of lighting a single light for each disagreeing contact, the machine would sense the graphite conduction of each individual answer, and compare it against the correct answers on a key sheet. This comparison or subtraction would provide a delta of current in one direction.



The total of the deltas would then be summed up in an analog way and indicated on a meter.

= = = = =

After IBM hired Johnson, he was able to work with their vast array of electronic and mechanical resources. Their workshop turned the concept into a first machine, somewhat rough-looking but fully usable.



The correct key sheet was kept inside the upper right box. Each student paper was inserted in the middle hopper, then the teacher would turn the crank to run the paper into the comparison press, where the rights and wrongs balanced into the meter reading. The paper then flowed down onto the stack.

The knobs on the left were complicated and I suspect they were rarely used. It was possible to section off the key sheet into groups with different weightings. Each knob set the weights for the sections, and the master knob normalized the result to 100 with a calibration sheet.

A later and more convenient version, the 805, motorized and automated the paper action.

Here teacher Polistra is assisted by TA Happystar. The answer key (red here) stays in the front hopper. Happystar inserts one student sheet into the back hopper. Polistra notes the name of the student and pushes the button to process the sheet. The total correct shows on the meter, and she writes the total in her gradebook. (The gradebook would be on the 'wing' of the grading machine.)



Top view to show the multiplier knobs and meter action:



= = = = =

There are only a few pictures of the 805 online. None of the usual computer museums or collectors own one, so there are no new pix or videos. The old pictures disagree on the combination of knobs and the mode of operation. Some seem to show the teacher writing grades on the student answer sheet after running it through the comparison. The sheet appears to be on a roller, and a later patent shows rollers. This action is entirely unclear, so I've stuck with the fairly clear action seen in the earlier patent. Insert, measure, write grade in gradebook, drop into stack at bottom.

= = = = =

Reynold Johnson stayed at IBM. His team developed a huge variety of inventions, focused on analog transducers serving as sensors for digital machines. The 805 graphite grader evolved into the 1230 optical grader, providing detailed digital counts and records. His biggest breakthrough was the 350 hard disk drive in 1957, which I'll feature in the next item.

Labels: Equipoise

  ¶ 3:15 PM

  This should be our Pompeii
Via Zuhlsdorf, this THING should be the icon of 2020. Brain-dead zombies delusionally believe that they are The Vanguard Of Revolutionary Resistance Against Orange Trump Witch Breath. These Courtiers are worshipping Lord Fauci, who knows perfectly well that his orders are designed to EXTERMINATE the mind and soul and body.

Every zombie in this room, and every symbol and noise and toxic emission from this room, is perfectly iconic of the Mecher HOLOCAUST. This should be our Golden Record. If we want aliens to know what we are and how we committed total planetary suicide, we should send this video out through the galaxies.

Labels: #WholeOfSociety, Jackboot stomping forever, UNENDING HELL

  ¶ 9:15 AM

  HTML oddity
Irrelevant but odd. When I wrote previous item, I accidentally copied the last line over and over and over with the Bold and Big tags at the start of each line but not at the end.

Unexpectedly, Firefox considers Big and Bold to be cumulative or additive tags. This doesn't happen with Italic. The first Italic turns on Italic, and then there's no 'morer Italicer' from further unclosed Italic tags.

Here's the result. It conveys the idea of cumulative repetition nicely, but it's unreadable.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

Labels: Bemusement

  ¶ 8:50 AM

  Over and over and over and over and over
Least surprising news: The "Havana microwave" hoax was KNOWN TO BE A HOAX all along.



The State Department didn't believe the claim, but still kept spewing it out. They had the evidence from the start.

I know something about both hearing and radio, so I could catch this hoax immediately. Other hoaxes fooled me for a while. (9/11 fooled me for a very LONG while!)

Over and over and over and over and over again, with ABSOLUTELY EVERY EVERY EVERY FUCKING THING WE HEAR FROM MEDIA AND GOVERNMENT,

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

THEY KNOW IT'S A HOAX BECAUSE THEY MADE THE HOAX.

Labels: endless hell, infinite evil, infinite STUPID, Jackboot stomping forever

  ¶ 5:51 AM

  Mutually Assured Destruction: fear vs reality
From ACM March 1958. An article by WH Pickering, head of JPL, gives an explanation not usually heard.

The ICBM with a hydrogen warhead takes less than half an hour to reach its target. This means, that within a few years every city on the globe will be living with a threat of sudden death - its life dependent on one man's action. And that man is not the ruler of an enemy country, but the soldier on guard in an isolated ICBM launching site.

The least we can hope is that he is not one of those young hotheads who frequently exchange rifle shots across a frontier. But no matter who he is, his decision is the death sentence of the target city.

With this situation rapidly becoming an accepted fact, military strategists have concluded that the only answer is the threat of immediate and total retaliation. Conceptually, the enemy's missiles are detected on route and the retaliatory missiles are launched even before the enemy missiles have reached their targets.

Thus, even if the launching sites do not survive the targets, destruction of the enemy is achieved. Even after the anti-missile-missile has been perfected, this basic strategy would be maintained.

In other words, MAD was meant to guard against Deplorables in the military. Computers and MAD were meant to protect the elite world from Deplorables.

What really happened is the EXACT FUCKING OPPOSITE.

The computers were the hotheads, and a Russian Deplorable saved the world by making a HUMAN decision.

= = = = = START 2015 REPRINT:

The newly publicized story of Stanislav Petrov slaps us with a couple of big lessons.

Petrov is the sanest man in the world, and thus the grumpiest man in the world.

Petrov saved the world from nuclear destruction in 1983.

He was manning the controls for part of Russia's nuclear arsenal, watching his radar and computer screens. Suddenly a blip appeared to be coming across the Arctic from North America. Then it was joined by four more blips in the same direction, but no more. Just five blips.

He had to think fast. There were four possibilities, formed into a truth table.

False indication, don't respond: End of his career. No other harm.

False indication, respond: Instant end of America, eventual end of humanity.

True indication, don't respond: Instant end of Russia, eventual end of humanity.

True indication, respond: Instant end of humanity.


His decision was based on a knowledge of all these possibilities, plus an understanding of his instruments and the meaning of their readings. He decided that five blips could not be a real USA STRONG attack, because USA STRONG understood the End Of Humanity logic as well as he did. If USA STRONG was going to attack, it would be sending hundreds of missiles all at once because there wouldn't be a chance to send the rest after Russia's response.

He chose not to push the button, and we're all alive because he did.

Thanks, Petrov!

It didn't exactly end his career, but he didn't get any rewards either. Now he's barely surviving on a pension, but he's fiercely loyal to Russia.

Lesson #1: Trust technicians. Trust metrology. A technician who understands his instruments will make the right decision far more often than a Professional who understands theories. The Professional will ignore obvious indications of bad readings, and will often intentionally falsify the readings, to keep his theory and his grants running.

Lesson #2: Especially for the beyond-evil hypermonsters who have been misruling USA STRONG since 1989. Don't underestimate Russians. Don't assume that they will surrender because you impose some economic hardships. They are accustomed to self-sufficiency and they are good at improvising. Above all, Russians are unconditionally Russian.

= = = = = END 2015 REPRINT.

THEORIES KILL. EXPERIENCE SURVIVES.

Labels: #DeplorableLivesMatter, AI point-missing, Metrology

  ¶ 3:29 PM

  Pork-busters are always idiots
I haven't mocked pork-busters in a long time.

While looking up old info about IBM systems, ran across this 1926 report from the US Govt Printing Office. It's a perfect example of idiotic penny-pinching.

Someone in the GPO had the idea of saving cost and eliminating "unfair profit" by making their own tabulators.

Negotiations are in progress with the Post Office Department, and with other departments and bureaus of the Government which are engaged to any considerable extent in statistical work, for the purpose of introducing the tabulating machinery which has been invented, developed, and manufactured in the bureau's mechanical laboratory.

The representatives of the Post Office Department have arranged for a practical test of the tabulating machine. This machine can also be used advantageously on cost accounting, and the bureau is already making such use of it, with highly satisfactory results. It makes possible the preparation, with a minimum of time, labor, and expense, of either general or detailed cost statements, in accordance with the “classification of objects of expenditure" adopted by the General Accounting Office.

I feel very strongly that a material saving can be effected by the introduction of the bureau's tabulating machinery in other branches of the Government.

But those other departments were already using Hollerith machines and Hollerith cards. They didn't WANT to switch, and they didn't even want to start using GPO cards in the Hollerith machines, based on experience. The GPO cards didn't fit right.

GPO tried to assert conflict of interest:

In a letter of August 19, 1925, the Postmaster General wrote as follows: Under the terms of the Hollerith contract with the Government, their machines are leased with the express stipulation that they be used only for the tabulation and assorting of cards of Hollerith manufacture. The Federal Trade Commission also stated in its reply of August 4, 1925, that it had entered into a similar contract with one of the tabulating machine companies. Admission of this exclusive and tying contract, which appears to be a violation of the Clayton Act...

But it didn't work in the end. Hollerith had perfected the SKILL of making tabulating machinery AND the cards to match. This was the unique American advantage, before we threw it away in the '70s. We knew how to turn an invention into a SYSTEM, with all of its pieces and connectors working together.

Using machines that don't work as well, with no service available, and with cards that don't fit, is NOT the way to save costs. The most important cost is downtime, not initial expenditure.

SKILL is always the most important variable. The SKILL of the various departments would be wasted by forcing them to use inadequate and unserviceable machinery. Human capital matters infinitely more than money capital. IBM made huge profits BECAUSE it understood this point.

Now, of course, we aim for Share Value instead of profit, so 100% downtime is the sole purpose and goal of the economy. No work, no skills, no production, no employees, no products, no customers, no humans. Just Bezos and machines.

Labels: skill-estate

  ¶ 11:03 PM

  Increasing grasp of Parkinson
Sometimes I feel alone in maintaining reality.

The commenters on this video give me encouragement. Saagar and Krystal are missing the point. They say that the NGO was supposed to be serving the homeless, and they're outraged that the executive of the NGO is taking all the money.

A thousand commenters get it right, and express the reality clearly and articulately.

Parkinson.

We run unending Wars On X, SPECIFICALLY DESIGNED to UNSOLVE the problem, and SPECIFICALLY DESIGNED to give money and power to the executives. The money is NOT supposed to go to the homeless. The money is NOT supposed to solve problems. The money is supposed to enrich the executives. Period.

Everyone knows the truth. Nobody believes the official line.

Even among the 'alternative' types, paid speakers intentionally miss the basic nature of bureaucracy and evil. Most of them start from the idiotic assumptions that people are identical and "democracy" and "checks and balances" exist. When an event proves reality, the paid speakers blame the other party or the other ideology.

The unpaid commenters understand reality better. Because we're unpaid, we're able to see the truth.

Labels: From rights to duties, Parkinson

  ¶ 12:00 PM

  Manweller's Rule and FB
The official conspiracists are telling us that Facebook self-sabotaged as revenge for the "whistleblower" who was talking to Congress.

Manweller's Rule. When an election or a protest or a whistleblower is ALLOWED to happen, it means Deepstate WANTS the result of the election or protest. When Deepstate DOESN'T WANT the result, the candidate or protest or whistleblower DOESN'T HAPPEN.

This "whistleblower" was telling Congress that FB needs to censor MORE Trumptards and delete MORE "dangerous misinformation".

You don't even need Manweller to understand this one. It's just the age-old collaboration of regulators and lobbyists. The "whistleblower" is saying exactly the same thing that FB's normal lobbyists are saying, therefore she's a lobbyist.
  ¶ 7:39 AM

  Number One Yang
Lately I've been watching the late-30s Charlie Chan movies before bedtime. There were two distinct series with different actors and styles. The series with Warner Oland as Chan is definitely superior because it pivots on the culture clash between Papa Chan and Number One Son.

Chan wasn't accurately Chinese but he did embody the solid certainty and restraint of an old and deep culture, which would have been familiar to recent immigrants at that time. In a real culture there is an unspoken place for every human type and an unspoken rule for every situation. Theories are not needed.

Number One Son was hyperamericanized, full of Theories and Innovative Disruptions and mistuned Enthusiasms.

Papa wasn't afraid to bop Number One Son upside the ear when Son went overboard into an overactive Theory. Papa knew the specifically Chinese art of delegation. Let things happen, nudge them here and there. Swing WITH the universe instead of trying to force the whole universe to swing your way.

This long interview with Andrew Yang reminded me of Number One Son. Yang is hyperamerican, full of Theories and Innovative Disruptions and mistuned Enthusiasms. He never delegates. He thinks "democracy" can be rescued by new Voting Systems. He believes in the Libertarian Principles that have given us Soros and Bezos and Fauci. He needs to be bopped upside the ear.

For clarity: I don't mean that Yang needs to be canceled or censored. He is super-smart, well-intentioned, and RICH. The latter quality is crucial for an independent candidate. I only mean that Yang would be more effective if he was more Chinese and less American, more old-culture and less Bezos.

THEORY KILLS. EXPERIENCE SURVIVES.
  ¶ 5:28 AM

  Just before the NSA web
Facebook and its various branches were apparently down for most of today. I didn't notice until I read about it somewhere, then I tried to access the Spokane News FB. Sure enough, Facebook.com was absent.

Supposedly their "server" failed. Mmmhmm. [Here's a well-informed early analysis, but not a complete explanation.]

If they had been renting from IBM in the '50s, this wouldn't have happened.

We don't really NEED most of the computing power we have today. It only serves to replace and ATROPHY our brains and cultures. And that's not an accident. The pattern is clear by now. Remove all normal senses and normal cultural connections. Remove all DECENTRALIZED machinery and technology. Replace everything with totally centralized and globalized mechanisms. Then cut off the mechanisms.

When everyone depends on ONE electrical grid, the grid WILL break far more often, and each breakdown will affect EVERYONE. When everyone depends on ONE computer, the computer will break far more often and each breakdown will affect EVERYONE.

We didn't have nearly as many power outages before 1970, because each city had its own grid, regulated by law to maintain service. We didn't have nearly as many mainframe failures before the NSA web, because each mainframe was completely separate and maintained by a two-way rental obligation. Overloads were contained within one company or one city.

Cascading failures can't happen when the modules are not connected.

= = = = =

How many mainframes did we have just before the NSA version of the web began?

Here's a 'census' from June 1968. I've chopped and channeled the chart, leaving only the manufacturer, the monthly rental per unit, and the number of installations.



Totals from the big names:

Burroughs 1400
Control Data 2100
DEC 2600
GE 1800
Honeywell 2100
IBM 40000
NCR 3300
RCA 1300
UNIVAC 5500

The total number of mainframes in the country was 63k, and IBM owned 40k of them.

How many do we have now? One. All computing depends on AWS.

All of those 1968 computers were entirely built in America from parts that were entirely built in America. The entire supply chain and service chain was under American control. No hostile country could cut off the supply or turn off the call centers.

Some of them were networked in a VARIETY of privately controlled ways. The Western Union teletype system and the Bell telephone system carried a lot of data between computers. Both of these networks were entirely under national control, and strictly regulated to maintain QUALITY of service.

What's the moral of the story? Libertarians are globalists. The purpose of deregulation is total centralization.

Incidentally, the oft-quoted 'misprediction' by Watson wouldn't have made sense. At the time when he supposedly said that the world couldn't possibly use more than a dozen computers, IBM already had several thousand electronic computers in service. As far back as 1920, IBM had several hundred electromechanical computers under its supervision. Watson must have been talking about one specific type of system, not computers in general.
  ¶ 11:00 PM

  Just puzzled
Disclaimer: China's internal political system is not my department, not a subject I understand at all.

Just noticing 'out of character' behavior by China.

Several parts of China are getting forced and frequent power blackouts, not induced by extreme weather or sudden increases of load. Most sources attribute the blackouts to the loss of Australian coal imports. The process, and the bureaucratic "messages", sound just like what happened here in June.

The numbers don't seem to justify such a widespread crackdown. China gets 2/3 of its power from coal, but only 1/10 of the coal is imported, and only part of that is from Australia.

Why is Australian coal missing? Australia decided to "investigate" the Chinese origin of the "virus", which is a false flag. Australia has been destroying itself for a full year "because" "virus", even though the alleged numbers of the actual "virus" are nowhere near other countries. China then responded by blockading Australian coal.

The origin doesn't matter because the "virus" doesn't matter. The lockdowns and ballgags were a planned worldwide funfest for psychopaths. That's all. Nothing else. Orgasms for demons.

Australia has already strangled its own people far more than most countries, and now it sabotages what's left of its economy by unnecessarily offending China.

On the other side, China knows what's going on, and its own local psychopaths have been running the same scam, though nowhere near as harshly and violently as Australia.

Self-sabotage is a long tradition in the Five Eyes countries. We've been handing our own economies and skills to China for 40 fucking years, in order to enrich the rich and slaughter the poor.

Self-sabotage and blockades are NOT typical of post-Mao China. Some people say that Xi is returning to ChairmanMaoThought, and this might be related.

Labels: Bemusement, infinite STUPID

  ¶ 10:51 AM

  Happy birthday Sputnik ... with a special salute.
Browsing through more of the ACM magazine. From Nov 1957, a remarkably sane and objective response to Sputnik. The anniversary is RIGHT NOW, so this is appropriate.

Author Edmund Berkeley gets everything right, with perfect objectivity about all aspects of the achievement.

On Friday October 4, scientists of the USSR opened a new era in the history of the world. Close to midnight, from a rocket launcher north of the Caspian Sea, they fired a three-stage rocket which ejected an instrumented globe named Sputnik into space above the earth's atmosphere. It weighed 184 pounds, was 23 inches in diameter, and had four extendible radio transmitting antennas, through which signals have been coming continually.

This of course is a magnificent, epoch-making achievement. The Soviet people and all human beings everywhere can take great pride in it. Certainly it is on a par with the Italian sailor Columbus's discovery of America.

I'm not entirely surprised by this approach; as a shortwave listener and reader of electronics mags, I knew at the time that the world of science was more united and less warlike than the world of politics.

Berkeley knows the difference between systems from personal experience:

The scientists who launched the rocket had enough resources to make very certain that it would be launched in exactly the way they desired. They oriented the whole third stage rocket to the position, direction, and velocity that they desired, and then separated the parts of it. There was evidently no stinting in the supply of all that was needed - and this time for a basically scientific achievement and not a military one.

I am reminded of something I was told on a short visit in Russia in 1934, about planning in a socialist society: a man might need a great ship to accomplish something worth while, but he would never need 50 pairs of shoes or a house with 50 rooms.

On the fucking dot.

It seems apparent from various accounts that the rocket energy, productive capacity, and skills at the command of the Russians are almost certainly greater than what is at the command of Americans. In the first place, the space satellite planned to be launched by the United States is only about 10 inches in diameter and is to weigh about 30 pounds. Compare this with the 23-inch diameter Sputnik weighing 184 pounds.

In addition, the Russians have stated that they have successfully tested an intercontinental ballistic missile. At least some American authorities say they believe this statement. The Russians have added that they can place such a missile on any spot on the earth.

Almost all of us in the United States have no access to information which enables us to judge whether this statement is likely to be true or not. In comparison, however, the Americans have only partially tested an intermediate range ballistic missile, and there have been a number of tests that failed.

These facts imply however that the Russians have essentially escaped from the confinement of the ring of American bases surrounding the Soviet Union.

Sound familiar? In this case the FACTS are familiar, but our propaganda, then and now, was the exact opposite of the FACTS. Berkeley stated the FACTS correctly. We were ready to attack Russia from all angles, and Russia broke our ring. Putin did the same thing two years ago with his hypersonic missiles. We are always trying to invade and destroy Russia, and Russia is always trying to break out of our ring and survive.

Why has a Russian moon happened? There are several reasons of great importance, which do not require the elaborate reasoning of automatic computers and data processing to demonstrate them.

First, the Soviet Union has been putting forth a massive effort in good, sound education, especially education in science and technical fields. It is currently graduating something like twice as many scientists and technicians as the United States. And there is good evidence that they are educated much better.

ON THE FUCKING DOT A TRILLION TIMES. As I've hammered a hundred times, we responded to this FACT by making our education even worse than before.

Fourth, professors, scientists, and intellectually able people are highly regarded in the Soviet Union as they are in most of Europe. In the Soviet Union they are well rewarded for good work, with a very high standard of living. They are not ridiculed in a stereotyped way as highbrows, eggheads, queers, and eccentrics. It is not considered that their careers should be secondary to those of good mixers, star football players, and organization men.

It is no doubt true that they may be looked on with suspicion and investigated as likely to be subversive, in the Soviet Union as well as in the United States. Exceedingly few Soviet scientists are permitted to travel outside of the Soviet Union into the Western world; we are sure that they have less freedom than Western scientists. But this fact does not seem to affect very much the quality and quantity of scientific work being done.

Note the remarkably even-handed objectivity about "freedom". Freedom to work means having the resources and training to do good work. Russia valued freedom to work in all fields, not just science. SKILL was valued and cultivated and appreciated in every possible way.

At the end of the article Berkeley converges to standard Cold War alarmism, probably in an attempt to keep his credentials. The facts are easier to digest when coated by normal branding.

= = = = =

Here's a repeat of my usual Sputnik anniversary scene, this time placed in Brahe's Star Castle.

Labels: Alternate universe, Natural law = Soviet law, skill-estate

  ¶ 11:29 PM

  Aphid Day 2021 (tentative)
Oct 3, 2021, temp 67. We're getting a fairly good swarm today so I'll place the item. Considering that last year had a tentative swarm on Oct 8 then a DEFINITE last warm day in Nov, I'll call today tentative.

= = = = =


Nov 4, 2020: Edited and re-dated! The aphids were right after all. Today they are SERIOUSLY swarming. Temp has reached 60, which isn't especially warm, but they were clearly waiting for today.


= = = = =

[This is the twelfth time I've noted it here. Aphid Day in 2010 was the first of Oct, in 2011 it was the end of Oct, in 2012 the first of Oct, in 2013 the last part of Oct, in 2014 (with an actual picture) the end of Sept, in 2015 end of Sept, in 2016 end of Sept, in 2017 near end of Oct, in 2018 around mid Oct, in 2019 around mid Oct., in 2020 early Nov. and now in 2021 tentatively Oct 3.]

= = = = = BELOW HERE IS REPRINT of the original.

Every year in Spokane the end of summer is marked by the swarming of tiny white-winged flies.

Insects don't waste much time in adulthood; lots of bugs live several years as larvae and only a few days as adults.

These flies take it to an extreme. Adults are minimally equipped to get in the air and reproduce. They don't have as much brain power as other flies, nor do they have hard shells. Instead of flying purposefully, they drift with the wind like seeds, and die as soon as they bump into anything even at near-zero drifting speed. Result: for a couple of days, your face and clothes are covered with semi-liquid insects.

Despite their lack of navigation, they must have some kind of superior instinct or 'community intelligence', because picking the last warm day is much harder than picking the first warm day of spring. Termites and ants don't need to calculate their swarming day; they only need a simple neuron to detect when temperature rises past a certain threshold, plus an emitted pheromone to trigger the avalanche.

But how do these flies determine that today is not just warm, but the last warmth for their generation? They must be sensing something besides temperature.

At any rate, they serve as a reliable sign for us, even if our supercomputers can't match their calculations.



Polistra has put it into folk-wisdom format:

White flies swarming, no more warming.

= = = = =

[Artistic note: the swarm in the animation turned out nicely, but Polistra's head looks steroid-swollen and South-Park-ish for unknown reasons. Maybe she's allergic to the bugs.]

[Technical note: According to some sources, these bugs are smoky-winged ash aphids, Prociphilus americanus.]

= = = = = END REPRINT.
  ¶ 2:19 PM

  It's all Spanish Prisoner
Democracy and meritocracy are variants on the Spanish Prisoner racket.

The classic version of the racket goes like this:

I need to get access to a pile of money.

I can't reach the money without some 'processing', which may be travel or bribing officials or paying taxes.

Will you help me with the 'processing'? If you help me, I'll give you a cut of the money.

And then the scammer simply disappears. You've lost money and received nothing.

= = = = =

Bribing is the most common version of 'processing'. When you believe you're helping to violate a law, you're less likely to call the cops.

The modern scammers, known as the Yahoo Boys, have reduced the pattern to the absolute minimum, and it still works. Sucker Filter.

They don't even bother to promise that you'll get a cut. You're doing it solely for "friendship", or in some cases for "patriotism". The scammers pretend to be US soldiers trapped in Yemen or Syria or Afghanistan.

= = = = =

Elections follow the same pattern, except that the potential windfall is power, not money.

A candidate says:

I need to get access to a pile of power.

I can't reach the power without some 'processing', which may be travel or bribing officials or campaign expenses.

Will you help me with the 'processing'? If you help me, I'll give you a cut of the power.

After you help, the candidate wins and proceeds to implement exactly the same agenda as the other politicians. Or else he stops running and endorses the Deepstate candidate. He now has access to power, but you don't get a cut of the power. Your views are still completely ignored and unrepresented.

= = = = =

Meritocracy follows the same pattern, except that the windfall is status, not money.

You think you're paying to get access to a cut of status. After you pay, the mentor or school or advertiser has more money, but you still don't have any more status.

Labels: Sucker Filter

  ¶ 8:24 AM