Monday, March 08, 2021
MetaDK
I'm terminally tired of the "Dunning-Kruger Effect". It's one of the 99999999999 quintillion words and "facts" that are constantly used as weapons by fashionable orthodox fuckheads to destroy unfashionable heretics.
The original "study" by Dunning and Kruger was prima facie dubious. They were "studying" exactly one person who was clearly a clever criminal, not an overconfident fool. He was fooling them, not the other way around.
The overall idea has been tossed around long before DK. Anti-scam shows in the '40s and '50s often warned that scammers found it especially easy to rook people who were confident of their own expertise.
Constants and Variables. What's the constant? Scammers know how to fool EVERYONE. They have techniques for innocent naive victims, techniques for expert victims, techniques for everyone in between. Nobody is exempt. Experts are not the unusual or variable item, experts are just one of the many cases in the racketeer's playbook.
Overconfidence is not an innate tendency of one type. Overconfidence is a condition that scammers can create in anyone.
Madman Lincoln gave his famous advice to future Deepstate racketeers. You can fool some, etc, so you need to have techniques available for all types of victims.
A recent study by "social" "scientists" looked at many situations that had been described by other "social" "scientists" as DK, and found that most of the descriptions were wrong.
The Deepstaters who throw DK always believe "social" "science", but they haven't noticed yet that "social" "science" has abandoned DK. The weaponizers are overconfident in their own fake expertise.
Labels: Constants and Variables, metametrology
¶ 11:44 PM
