Huge point-missing
Interesting article on demography by Marcus Roberts at Mercatornet. (This isn't exactly AI point-missing, but MercatorNet is closely related to the websites I usually hammer for AI.)

Roberts notes that most of the major powers are aging fast and not reproducing. Normal people get calmer with age. Prison wardens and cops have always understood this, and have focused their attention on males under 30.

So the major powers SHOULD become calmer with age. But obviously USA is becoming more and more belligerent toward foreign countries and ESPECIALLY toward its own people. China has always tended toward internal slaughter, with several major episodes in the last century. Now Russia has suddenly rejoined the internal slaughter club, after 20 years of remarkable sanity and courage by Putin.

The youngest nations, mainly in Africa and South America, are NOT belligerent. Some of them have problems with internal strife and revolutions, but none of them are making external war.

Roberts misses a couple of HUGE points.

However, whether this ageing phenomenon will also make either China or Russia less belligerent is harder to predict. While the USA, as a democratic nation, may be constrained by its population’s wishes, as well as by its requirement to provide increasing funds for the electorally powerful “grey vote”, similar constraints do not apply as strongly to Beijing or Moscow.

"Democracy" is an utterly empty word. It never had any meaning. "Elections" never have the slightest effect. We use "Democracy" as a weapon against foreign countries we want to obliterate. We call them "authoritarian", and bomb them down to bedrock in order to "make them safe for Democracy". We've been doing this since 1890, except for the brief blessed lucid interval** from Harding through FDR. We're never "constrained by the public's wishes." On nearly all important issues, 2/3 of the public disagrees with the constant government policy of total obliteration. Only 1/3 enjoy mass murder, because they foolishly imagine that they are "on the same team" as the murderers.

And the grey vote is another empty myth. This is part of the old Tocqueville 47% Largesse ratshit. The government doesn't work that way. In recent decades Congress has cut SS benefits, and started taxing the benefits, with no hesitation. Congress DIDN'T raise the cap on earnings for YOUNG people who are still paying into the system. Raising the cap would offend the top 0.01% of rich fuckheads, so it can't possibly happen.

Psychopathic fuckheads have all the power regardless of age.

Most of the top psychopaths are way over 70. Trump, Soros, Hillary, Biden, Adelson, Bolton, Buffett, all the Federal blackrobes, all the leaders in Congress. Younger psychopaths are serving as governors and mayors and "public health" officials. They're just as bloodthirsty as the older psychopaths, but they're not currently in a position to influence foreign wars. When they finally move into the top positions, they will continue to obliterate everything.

= = = = =

** Also 20 years of internal and external peace. From 1921 to 1941 we were minding our own business and trying to improve our own nation. Just like Putin from 2000 to 2020. Is this a natural constant? Is there a natural timer on belligerent nations that rings an alarm and throws a war switch after 20 years of peace?

Labels: 2/3, AI point-missing, Asked better than answered

  ¶ 12:01 AM