Small experiment
I'd been hoping for some kind of balanced experiment on shutdown vs non-shutdown. A map of 'hot spots' seen at ZH starts to answer the question. The map shows hot spots for Branded Swine Flu, and it uses per capita numbers instead of simple numbers. In this metro area, the map has separate spots for Spokane itself and Coeur d'Alene. Both are small and equal. We have about a dozen confirmed cases and no deaths.
Wash and Idaho have performed the experiment. Wash, including Spokane, shut down schools early and permanently, and the shutdown of normal life has been clamping down harder day by day. Idaho was much slower to close schools and life, just starting this week.
In this one small experiment ... SO FAR ... the early shutdowns didn't make any difference. There wasn't a huge import of viruses, so the slow infiltration seems to have allowed immune systems to catch up. The real key in any epidemic is big doses vs small doses. In places like Seattle with a huge Chinese population and lots of Chinese travel, the initial dose was big.
Also, I'd been wondering who developed the shutdown technique. China did, and we mindlessly copied it from China without asking whether it worked or not. We've offshored all of our engineering and manufacturing to China, so I guess we just offshored our public health "thinking" as well. There wasn't any experiment at that stage, so we didn't know or care whether the advertised result came from developed immunity or shutdown. Now that China is REMOVING the shutdown, we're questioning China's reports of success, while continuing to use China's technique because it suits our power-mad holocausters.
Maybe it helps, and maybe it makes a difference, but the only thing we know FOR SURE is that the shutdowns WILL kill vastly more people than the virus. No experiment needed. When you starve people they die.
In politics and economics and science we keep trying new "solutions" for old problems. THERE ARE NO NEW PROBLEMS. ALL PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN AROUND FOR A LOOOOOOONG TIME, AND ALL PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN SOLVED OR MITIGATED BY LONG EXPERIENCE. New solutions are guaranteed to fail, and THAT'S WHY WE USE THEM. WE WANT TO FAIL. WE WANT TO KILL MILLIONS OF PEOPLE.
Labels: Constants and Variables, Incalculably wicked, infinite infinite infinite infinite evil, Jackboot stomping forever