Saturday, July 06, 2019
Seismology is worthless.
Some branches of science have taken off their theory goggles and started observing reality. Seismologists haven't. Their prediction ability has NEVER IMPROVED. It's still zero. They can't even POSTDICT properly.
After the 6.4 yesterday, seismologists said there was a 9% chance of a larger quake following. A larger quake followed. Now they're saying there's a 5% chance of a larger quake following this one.
When your 9% turns out to be 100%, you should AT LEAST adjust the next prediction upward. Seismologists do not observe reality.
Another seismologist said that these quakes are not on the San Andreas, so there's ZERO chance of a big quake along the San Andreas. This is an ancient and unshakeable bigotry among seismologists. No quake can ever cause another quake. Each quake exists in its own universe. Every quake is strictly an independent Poisson data point.
Sheer nonsense. Or rather shear nonsense. We've had many examples of large quakes triggering distant quakes in areas that had been 'waiting' for a quake. Simple physics requires it. When the waves are strong enough to do damage 100 miles away, they're also strong enough to break the static friction of ANY fault that's stressed and ready to slip.
USA STRONG seismologists have studiously ignored work by Chinese and Russian seismologists who have managed to predict quakes days in advance by observing animal behavior. USA STRONG seismologists do not believe in life. Animals are independent Poisson data points without senses and brains.
When a branch of science has been active for 300 years without ONE SINGLE SUCCESS, it's time to stop funding it.
Labels: Blinded by Stats
¶ 9:15 AM
