Three blind dice
Since I seem to be doing mouse metaphors this week...

Right now we have a nice contrast between three deterministic PURPOSE-DRIVEN leaders vs three random dice-throwing leaders.

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Deterministic: Putin, Orban, Salvini.

Dice: Trump, Elon, Duterte.

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With deterministic leaders you don't need to check the tweets every minute. You know that they will ALWAYS be working toward one goal. These three are always PROTECTING their people and ADVANCING the interests of their people. That's their JOB. (There are also consistent purpose-driven leaders on the other side, such as Soros and Juncker and Bezos; but I'm trying to accentuate the positive.)

With a random leader, every throw is different. Sometimes you get a long streak of 7s, sometimes you can't see a pattern at all.

Trump and Duterte often say true things mixed with nonsense. Trump has said true things about bankers and tariffs, and then immediately canceled the truth with standard nonsense on the same subjects. Duterte has said true things about Rome, and now he's quoting standard boilerplate about another religion in order to buy some guns.

Elon rarely says true things, which means his randomness is less complete. He's closer to the Bezos and Juncker side. Nevertheless, his lies are generally canceled by lawyer-ordered boilerplate a few days later, so the effect is the same.

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Footnote for my own consistency: I normally make a BIG point of debunking "randomness", showing that everything is determined. Events we call "deterministic" have short or simple chains of causation. Events we call "random" are the result of long super-complex chains that can't possibly be tracked or figured. For simplicity I'm neglecting my usual persnickety fussiness here and using the words conventionally.

Labels: Sorosia

  ¶ 1:04 AM