Tuesday, March 17, 2020
Major question by a real expert
Via RCS, a major piece by a major expert with unquestionable credentials, raising major questions about all of our assumptions on Branded Swine Flu.
Ioannidis is a prof of public health at Stanford. His big point is that we simply HAVE NO FUCKING IDEA what this flu will do. He runs the numbers, such as they are, and concludes that the dire scenarios are much less likely than a typical flu scenario. Flu is always serious but not worth closing the world.
Note especially what he does with the Diamond Princess cruise ship, where we know for sure that a specific number of people were fully exposed to the virus, and we know for sure that a specific number died.
In contrast, we KNOW what happens when we close down half the jobs in a country for an indefinite period. Lots of people die, lots of people switch to crime. We're already seeing the latter here, after the police department stated that they were releasing some prisoners and going slow on arrests to avoid putting more criminals in jail.
Ioannidis agrees with those sane 1938 experts that Nature does sin and tanh, not exp. Our modern idiots presume that Nature always does exp, because exp is their Share Value wet dream.
Labels: NOT blinded by stats
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