Tuesday, October 02, 2018
Fuqing stupid
Unnecessary and mostly wrong research:
The results, reported in Monthly Weather Review published by the American Meteorological Society, suggest that we can greatly enhance our ability to predict thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes. "It's not just the data that's important," Fuqing Zhang, professor of meteorology and director of ADAPT said. "It's how we design very sophisticated numerical mathematical algorithms to ingest that satellite data into the model. This is really our expertise and our pride. Our team is the first to be able to effectively take in this high resolution satellite data and prove it can be useful in real-case scenarios." In the past 40 years, tornado warning lead-time -- meaning the time interval between when a warning is issued and the tornado occurs -- has increased on average from 3 to 14 minutes. Zhang said this method could extend that lead time even further.Unnecessary. Radar and HUMAN SENSES are already doing the job. Lead time increased from 3 to 14 minutes? Nonsense. That might apply to the official NOAA definition of a tornado, which requires search warrants, due process, preliminary hearings, trial by jury, and appeals. "In the past 40 years????" Back in the '70s, which was 40 years ago, the "real-case" tornado warnings via TV were always at least 30 minutes, sometimes a couple of hours. Add the human sense that develops when you live in tornado territory, and you often have 3 or 4 hours of warning. Not 3 minutes. There are a few outliers, small tornados that pop up in ordinary storms, and dust devils that get strong enough to do a little damage. But the serious twisters always give an hour or two if you're on the ball and in tune with Nature. And as always, IMMENSE THANKS to LIFE-SAVING HERO Gary England, who perfected the TV warning system and trained people in awareness and readiness. ¶ 3:26 AM
