Sunday, March 27, 2016
No more dynasties
This set of numbers from Wash state Dem caucuses shows what's happening more dramatically than any birds. It's the same in both "parties", and it's a truly unprecedented switch.
Three words: NO MORE DYNASTIES.
In the list of county results, every single county went for Bernie. I've redone the table with ratios:
Even in the solidly R Palouse the results are in the same range of ratios. Only Garfield, where it looks like two families participated, had a ratio less than 2.
The old strategy of repelling all rational humans and leaving only the mechanical partybots no longer works for the dynasties. In normal years, caucuses yield the MOST RELIABLE results for dynasties. This may still be true on the Repoof side, where caucuses in Kansas and other states went for the substitute heir Cruz. It's NOT true on the D side.
¶ 6:10 AM 
| Adams | 6 | 17 | 2.83 |
| Asotin | 21 | 43 | 2.05 |
| Benton | 107 | 385 | 3.60 |
| Chelan | 63 | 160 | 2.54 |
| Clallam | 85 | 188 | 2.21 |
| Clark | 297 | 1080 | 3.64 |
| Columbia | 3 | 10 | 3.33 |
| Cowlitz | 76 | 255 | 3.36 |
| Douglas | 23 | 63 | 2.74 |
| Ferry | 5 | 18 | 3.60 |
| Franklin | 29 | 115 | 3.97 |
| Garfield | 2 | 3 | 1.50 |
| Grant | 29 | 112 | 3.86 |
| Grays Harbor | 65 | 176 | 2.71 |
| Island | 97 | 219 | 2.26 |
| Jefferson | 56 | 135 | 2.41 |
| King | 3246 | 6704 | 2.07 |
| Kitsap | 238 | 631 | 2.65 |
| Kittitas | 31 | 106 | 3.42 |
| Klickitat | 11 | 55 | 5.00 |
| Lewis | 36 | 166 | 4.61 |
| Lincoln | 8 | 22 | 2.75 |
| Mason | 55 | 159 | 2.89 |
| Pacific | 18 | 77 | 4.28 |
| Pend Oreille | 10 | 35 | 3.50 |
| Pierce | 712 | 1968 | 2.76 |
| SanJuan | 25 | 79 | 3.16 |
| Skagit | 116 | 322 | 2.78 |
| Skamania | 5 | 46 | 9.20 |
| Snohomish | 677 | 2165 | 3.20 |
| Spokane | 333 | 1199 | 3.60 |
| Stevens | 23 | 101 | 4.39 |
| Thurston | 245 | 868 | 3.54 |
| Wahkiakum | 2 | 17 | 8.50 |
| Walla Walla | 45 | 109 | 2.42 |
| Whatcom | 166 | 695 | 4.19 |
| Whitman | 28 | 109 | 3.89 |
| Yakima | 123 | 393 | 3.20 |
Even in the solidly R Palouse the results are in the same range of ratios. Only Garfield, where it looks like two families participated, had a ratio less than 2.
The old strategy of repelling all rational humans and leaving only the mechanical partybots no longer works for the dynasties. In normal years, caucuses yield the MOST RELIABLE results for dynasties. This may still be true on the Repoof side, where caucuses in Kansas and other states went for the substitute heir Cruz. It's NOT true on the D side.
¶ 6:10 AM
