Fueled by industrial greenhouse gas emissions, Earth's climate warmed more between 1971 and 2000 than during any other three-decade interval in the last 1,400 years...Here's what they are saying: Today's warmth happened before, 1400 years ago. THEREFORE today's warmth is caused by industrial greenhouse gas emissions. No sane human would think this way. Try it out: I got a paycheck for $600 this week. I also got a paycheck for $600 last week. THEREFORE I know that this week's paycheck comes from an entirely different source than last week's paycheck. Or: I ate an egg sandwich for lunch today. I also ate an egg sandwich for lunch yesterday. THEREFORE I know today's egg sandwich was made in an entirely different way than yesterday's egg sandwich. Now let's run it down to the termite level. Last year around this time, the temperature rose to 80 degrees for the first time. We swarmed. Today the temperature rose to 80 degrees for the first time. THEREFORE this is not the day to swarm. Instead we should make an egg sandwich. Of course termites aren't that dumb. Only climate "scientists" are that dumb. = = = = = Quitting the analogy and going explicit, here's the basic point: Nature loves cycles. Nature hates straight lines. When you see a pattern in Nature that looks like a cycle, you should assume the pattern is a cycle. You should need a big fucking pile of proof to decide otherwise. For a long time the scientific priesthood has skipped this basic rule. They consistently ignore the obvious and insist on using bizarre loony theories that run counter to all facts and observations. In this case the priests look at an obviously cyclical pattern of temperature and decide, for no visible or provable reason, that the first part of the pattern is all natural and green and stuff, while the second part of the pattern is completely separate and caused by Evil KKKarbon. The priesthood has a long record of similar ignorance. In geology, simple observation led most people to suppose the continents had broken apart from a single land mass. After Wegener pointed this out and showed how it must have happened, the priesthood spent 50 years laughing at him before they finally caught on. Same mistake with Mars. Schiaparelli saw canals and rivers and assumed they were canals and rivers. The priests spent 200 years laughing at Schiaparelli before they finally caught on. Same mistake with evolution. For thousands of years people observed plants and animals and assumed that all the species were created 'in the beginning'. The scientific priesthood laughed at this, making the strange and unsupported assumption that species arose separately and gradually. This strange assumption has been running for 150 years, despite zero evidence of species actually arising. The priesthood hasn't caught on yet, but more and more evidence (of the type that priests should understand) is accumulating. Perhaps they may start to understand in another 150 years.
Polistra was named after the original townsite of Manhattan (the one in Kansas). When I was growing up in Manhattan, I spent a lot of time exploring by foot, bike, and car. I discovered the ruins of an old mill along Wildcat Creek, and decided (inaccurately) that it was the remains of the original site of Polistra. Accurate or not, I've always liked the name, with its echoes of Poland (an under-appreciated friend of freedom) and stars. ==== The title icon is explained here. ==== Switchover: This 2007 entry marks a sharp change in worldview from neocon to pure populist. ===== The long illustrated story of Polistra's Dream is a time-travel fable, attempting to answer the dangerous revision of New Deal history propagated by Amity Shlaes. The Dream has 8 episodes, linked in a chain from the first. This entry explains the Shlaes connection.