Thursday, July 12, 2012
  Yes, you don't get it.

Krugman is always frustrating. His heart is in the right place, but his brain isn't fully connected.
Consider the extended version of the “magneto trouble” metaphor I use in my recent book. Keynes argued that the Great Depression could be thought of as a failure in the car’s electrical system; so let’s think of it as a situation where your car won’t run because it has a dead battery — that is, you could get it running again with a fairly trivial and easy intervention: just buy a new battery, which costs only a tiny fraction of the expense of a new car.

In saying this I am not denying that there may be other problems with the car, perhaps even big ones. Maybe it needs new brakes, or a new transmission, and these had better be dealt with soon.

Still, what sense can it possibly make to say that therefore you shouldn’t start by replacing that dead battery?

I really don’t get it.

Exactly, city boy. You don't get it.

As Polistra has pointed out before, Krugman only uses half of the Keynes idea.

Keynes thought gov't should be like a dam, storing water in wet times and releasing it for use in dry times. Using the electrical flow analogy, the treasury is the battery. When the car [country] is running, the generator [productive activity] charges the battery. The battery [treasury] then holds a charge so you can start the car [country] when it has been stopped or stalled.

In other writings, Krugman seems to understand the idea, but he has not practiced both sides of Keynes. In good times a genuine Keynesian should be pushing hard for heavy taxes on the rich; should be constantly telling the rulers that they will be DEAD if they don't store up money. When bad times come, a genuine Keynesian shouldn't be pushing for stimulus; he should be saying "I told you so. It's too late now."

Krugman wants to replace the battery [the treasury] so it can provide a charge to get the country going now that it's stalled. But that won't work.

I once got marooned in the Okla Panhandle because I was trying to run a truck by Krugman's rule. The old company-owned '55 Ford flatbed (like this) had a good battery, but its generator burned out shortly after I left Ponca with a full load and a trailer. I was able to nurse it from Ponca into Dodge City with several external charges. Delivered the stuff that was needed in Dodge, and took the truck to a Ford dealer. They didn't have a generator for such an oldie, so I bought a new battery (as Krugman recommends!) and a charger, and started back home to Ponca with stops at gas stations every hundred miles. Around Laverne the new battery decisively failed because it wasn't getting a steady charge. I had to call the boss to fetch me. He wasn't happy.

Thus proving Krugman wrong.

Returning to the economic version: I was trying to run a country without a manufacturing sector. Instead of charging the treasury from taxes, I was borrowing from other countries. The method sort of worked for a while, enabling me to limp along slowly. Finally the treasury went decisively bankrupt and the country came to a complete halt. Sounds familiar, doesn't it?

= = = = =

Fussy irrelevant tech sidenote: Both Keynes and Krugman are misusing the word magneto. Generators and magnetos are different ways of producing current. Early cars didn't have starters or batteries or a real electric system. Lights were oil or acetylene lamps, and you cranked the engine to start it. A magneto gave short pulses of current at the right moment for each spark plug, and the spark coil turned those pulses into high-voltage pulses. Cadillac introduced full electric systems in 1913, with a generator supplying a steady voltage, electric lights, and a battery to store charge for the next start. Everyone else followed suit immediately because cranking was wildly inconvenient and a constant source of injury.
 


<< Home

blogger hit counter
My Photo
Name:
Location: Spokane

The current icon shows Polistra using a Personal Equation Machine.

My graphics products:

Free stuff at ShareCG

And some leftovers here.

ARCHIVES
March 2005 / April 2005 / May 2005 / June 2005 / July 2005 / August 2005 / September 2005 / October 2005 / November 2005 / December 2005 / January 2006 / February 2006 / March 2006 / April 2006 / May 2006 / June 2006 / July 2006 / August 2006 / September 2006 / October 2006 / November 2006 / December 2006 / January 2007 / February 2007 / March 2007 / April 2007 / May 2007 / June 2007 / July 2007 / August 2007 / September 2007 / October 2007 / November 2007 / December 2007 / January 2008 / February 2008 / March 2008 / April 2008 / May 2008 / June 2008 / July 2008 / August 2008 / September 2008 / October 2008 / November 2008 / December 2008 / January 2009 / February 2009 / March 2009 / April 2009 / May 2009 / June 2009 / July 2009 / August 2009 / September 2009 / October 2009 / November 2009 / December 2009 / January 2010 / February 2010 / March 2010 / April 2010 / May 2010 / June 2010 / July 2010 / August 2010 / September 2010 / October 2010 / November 2010 / December 2010 / January 2011 / February 2011 / March 2011 / April 2011 / May 2011 / June 2011 / July 2011 / August 2011 / September 2011 / October 2011 / November 2011 / December 2011 / January 2012 / February 2012 / March 2012 / April 2012 / May 2012 / June 2012 / July 2012 / August 2012 / September 2012 / October 2012 / November 2012 / December 2012 / January 2013 / February 2013 / March 2013 / April 2013 / May 2013 / June 2013 / July 2013 / August 2013 / September 2013 / October 2013 / November 2013 / December 2013 / January 2014 / February 2014 / March 2014 / April 2014 / May 2014 / June 2014 / July 2014 / August 2014 / September 2014 / October 2014 / November 2014 / December 2014 / January 2015 / February 2015 / March 2015 / April 2015 / May 2015 / June 2015 / July 2015 / August 2015 / September 2015 / October 2015 / November 2015 / December 2015 / January 2016 / February 2016 / March 2016 / April 2016 / May 2016 / June 2016 / July 2016 / August 2016 / September 2016 / October 2016 / November 2016 / December 2016 / January 2017 / February 2017 / March 2017 / April 2017 / May 2017 / June 2017 / July 2017 / August 2017 / September 2017 / October 2017 / November 2017 / December 2017 / January 2018 / February 2018 / March 2018 / April 2018 / May 2018 / June 2018 / July 2018 / August 2018 / September 2018 / October 2018 / November 2018 / December 2018 / January 2019 / February 2019 / March 2019 / April 2019 / May 2019 / June 2019 / July 2019 / August 2019 / September 2019 / October 2019 / November 2019 / December 2019 / January 2020 / February 2020 / March 2020 / April 2020 / May 2020 / June 2020 / July 2020 / August 2020 / September 2020 / October 2020 / November 2020 / December 2020 / January 2021 / February 2021 / March 2021 / April 2021 / May 2021 / June 2021 / July 2021 / August 2021 / September 2021 / October 2021 / November 2021 /


Major tags or subjects:

2000 = 1000
Carbon Cult
Carver
Constants and variables
Defensible Cases
Defensible Times
Defensible Spaces
Equipoise
Experiential education
From rights to duties
Grand Blueprint
Metrology
Natural law = Sharia law
Natural law = Soviet law
Shared Lie
Skill-estate
Trinity House
#Whole-of-society

Powered by Blogger