Friday, January 27, 2012
Boys vs men 2
Sequel to last night's observation about Repooflican debaters. Newt and Mitt were carrying on a junior-high feud; when Paul and Santorum were invited to join the feud they instead showed how to solve the problem that Newt and Mitt were quibbling about. Boys vs men. Nice clear distinction.
Something similar is going on within the climate dispute between the genocidal mass-murdering Carbon Cult and the heretical Real Scientists. The Real Scientist side is descending into petty disputes, focusing on eentsy-weentsy details, trying to find all sorts of minor problems with the Carbon Cult's equations and statistics. Now they're trying to establish a competing Uniform Theory of Climate.
THIS IS A PURE WASTE OF TIME.
The heretical models are not going to work any better than the Carbon Cult models because the earth's climate is BEYOND MODELING. The number of well-known and well-measured variables is way beyond any computer's ability to handle, even if we knew the correct patterns for any of them. Which we don't. And we may be completely unaware of some important variables. Unknown unknowns, in Rumsfeldian jargon. Worst of all, we can't even start with "the earth's climate" as a meaningful concept. Northern and Southern hemispheres are largely independent systems, and there's very little consistency between any two locations.
In terms of Basic Science, the only thing we need to do is disprove the Carbon model. And that was ALREADY DONE decisively and dispositively by graphs like this.
FACT: If CO2 plays any part at all in determining the world's temperature, it doesn't show in the record. No further math needed. The job of Basic Science was finished 20 years ago.
Enough junior-high feuding. Enough Asperger obsession with details piled on details piled on details piled on details piled on details.
Now it's time for Applied Science, time to think about solving our ACTUAL PROBLEM.
In terms of climate and weather, OUR ACTUAL PROBLEM HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH TEMPERATURE. OUR ACTUAL PROBLEM IS PRECIPITATION. Specifically, in recent years the large-scale systems have been paralyzed too often, leaving jet streams in one place for an entire season, producing droughts on one side and floods on the other.
Can we figure out how to unstick these blocking highs? Can we force the jet stream to start slithering around more freely? Or if this is going to be permanent, how can we compensate? How many thousands of bureaucrats and Black-Robed Saboteurs will we need to kill before we can start building dams and canals again? Those are the APPLIED SCIENCE questions we should be pondering.
Polistra started hammering on this point in 2005, as seen in this animation. ¶ 3:41 AM
Something similar is going on within the climate dispute between the genocidal mass-murdering Carbon Cult and the heretical Real Scientists. The Real Scientist side is descending into petty disputes, focusing on eentsy-weentsy details, trying to find all sorts of minor problems with the Carbon Cult's equations and statistics. Now they're trying to establish a competing Uniform Theory of Climate.
THIS IS A PURE WASTE OF TIME.
The heretical models are not going to work any better than the Carbon Cult models because the earth's climate is BEYOND MODELING. The number of well-known and well-measured variables is way beyond any computer's ability to handle, even if we knew the correct patterns for any of them. Which we don't. And we may be completely unaware of some important variables. Unknown unknowns, in Rumsfeldian jargon. Worst of all, we can't even start with "the earth's climate" as a meaningful concept. Northern and Southern hemispheres are largely independent systems, and there's very little consistency between any two locations.
In terms of Basic Science, the only thing we need to do is disprove the Carbon model. And that was ALREADY DONE decisively and dispositively by graphs like this.
FACT: If CO2 plays any part at all in determining the world's temperature, it doesn't show in the record. No further math needed. The job of Basic Science was finished 20 years ago.
Enough junior-high feuding. Enough Asperger obsession with details piled on details piled on details piled on details piled on details.
Now it's time for Applied Science, time to think about solving our ACTUAL PROBLEM.
In terms of climate and weather, OUR ACTUAL PROBLEM HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH TEMPERATURE. OUR ACTUAL PROBLEM IS PRECIPITATION. Specifically, in recent years the large-scale systems have been paralyzed too often, leaving jet streams in one place for an entire season, producing droughts on one side and floods on the other.
Can we figure out how to unstick these blocking highs? Can we force the jet stream to start slithering around more freely? Or if this is going to be permanent, how can we compensate? How many thousands of bureaucrats and Black-Robed Saboteurs will we need to kill before we can start building dams and canals again? Those are the APPLIED SCIENCE questions we should be pondering.
Polistra started hammering on this point in 2005, as seen in this animation. ¶ 3:41 AM
